Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:16:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A5
0xa5cf…39d5
sports · 32 markets active 1h ago
4.5score
+$93 +39%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$90 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$46
Realized+$90
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)81%
Wins / losses22 / 5
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions5
Markets (closed)27 / 32
History coverage1d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day39.8
Drawdown5%
Kalshi-fit81%
Chart Positions 5 History 27 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$90
7 days+$90
14 days+$90
30 days+$90
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 76¢ 100¢ $20 $26 +$6 (+31%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 64¢ 69¢ $7 $8 +$1 (+9%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? No 72¢ 72¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-1%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Katerina Siniakova vs Yue Yuan Katerina Siniakova 81¢ 86¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+6%)
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) Scotland 40¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-99%)
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson Laura Samson 68¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? No 68¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $20 +$23 +114%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 14 $8 +$8 +105%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $15 +$16 +105%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $15 +$3 +18%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson Jun 13 $5 −$5 -99%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Taylah Preston Jun 13 $5 +$1 +14%
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 13 $5 +$6 +116%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Veronika Erjavec Jun 13 $3 +$1 +23%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic Jun 13 $2 +$1 +27%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata Jun 13 $3 +$2 +97%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Johannus Monday vs Giovanni Mpetshi Jun 13 $4 +$2 +37%
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Darja Vidmanova Jun 13 $2 $0 +18%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 13 $5 +$1 +24%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Jun 13 $2 +$1 +32%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette Jun 13 $5 −$2 -39%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $20 +$15 +75%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 13 $15 +$6 +42%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $4 $0 -7%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $20 $0 -2%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $5 +$3 +70%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $5 +$2 +39%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $7 +$8 +109%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $5 +$2 +35%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $2 +$1 +29%
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 12 $2 +$1 +50%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 61% +$46
other 39% +$44
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 72¢ $8 49m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 76¢ $10 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 76¢ $10 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 64¢ $7 2h
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Scotland 40¢ $7 3h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 46¢ $10 5h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 46¢ $10 5h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 48¢ $8 5h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 48¢ $8 5h
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson BUY Laura Samson 68¢ $2 7h
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson BUY Laura Samson 68¢ $2 7h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Taylah Preston BUY Taylah Preston 87¢ $2 8h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Taylah Preston BUY Taylah Preston 87¢ $2 8h
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi BUY Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 97¢ $2 8h
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Katarzyna Kawa BUY Katarzyna Kawa 45¢ $2 8h
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Katarzyna Kawa BUY Katarzyna Kawa 46¢ $2 8h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Veronika Erjavec BUY Viktorija Golubic 81¢ $3 9h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic BUY Emma Raducanu 78¢ $2 9h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata BUY Rinky Hijikata 50¢ $3 11h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Johannus Monday vs Giovanni Mpetshi BUY Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 73¢ $2 12h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Johannus Monday vs Giovanni Mpetshi BUY Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 72¢ $2 12h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Katerina Siniakova vs Yue Yu BUY Katerina Siniakova 88¢ $2 12h
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Darja Vidmanova BUY Ashlyn Krueger 84¢ $2 13h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Qatar 42¢ $8 13h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Katerina Siniakova vs Yue Yu BUY Katerina Siniakova 76¢ $2 13h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs BUY Team Liquid 48¢ $8 15h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Emma Raducanu 80¢ $3 15h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Emma Raducanu 80¢ $3 15h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 59¢ $8 16h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Ben Shelton 75¢ $2 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +78%
net ROI/market (all)+21.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 27 +34.7% +21.8% 81% 78% +32.9%
≤30d 27 +34.7% +21.8% 81% 78% +32.9%
≤90d 27 +34.7% +21.8% 81% 78% +32.9%
all 27 +34.7% +21.8% 81% 78% +32.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover39.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +21.8% 78% +32.9%
10% ← realistic here +10.2% 67% +20.2%
15% -0.5% 44% +8.6%
20% -10.2% 30% -2.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $46.45 · official $46.45 (match) · 81 history records