Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:57:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A5
0xa5d9…6065
sports · 15 markets active 1h ago
4.5score
+$57 +40%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$57 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$22
Realized+$57
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)77%
Wins / losses10 / 3
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions2
Markets (closed)13 / 15
History coverage2d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day10.7
Drawdown20%
Kalshi-fit73%
Chart Positions 2 History 13 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$69
7 days+$57
14 days+$57
30 days+$57
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 Over 73¢ 80¢ $20 $22 +$2 (+9%)
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 31¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Spread: United States (-1.5) Paraguay 79¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Yes 37¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $5 +$1 +21%
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 14 $5 +$12 +226%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $10 +$5 +50%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $7 +$14 +200%
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $2 +$13 +650%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $10 +$14 +134%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $21 +$11 +52%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $4 +$5 +109%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $4 +$1 +29%
Spread: United States (-1.5) Jun 12 $16 −$11 -66%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $7 +$13 +188%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $15 −$11 -75%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 82% +$45
other 18% +$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 73¢ $20 1h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 82¢ $5 2h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY Yes 17¢ $5 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 21¢ $2 6h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $5 6h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 42¢ $5 6h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 66¢ $10 6h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 31¢ $10 6h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 13¢ $2 12h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 65¢ $21 12h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 42¢ $10 12h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 77¢ $4 39h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $4 39h
Spread: United States (-1.5) SELL Paraguay 78¢ $5 39h
Spread: United States (-1.5) BUY Paraguay 79¢ $4 39h
Spread: United States (-1.5) BUY Paraguay 79¢ $12 39h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 39¢ $3 2d
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? SELL Yes 37¢ $3 2d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 34¢ $7 2d
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 37¢ $3 2d
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 37¢ $6 2d
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 37¢ $3 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +77%
net ROI/market (all)+85.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 13 +104.7% +85.2% 77% 77% +38.6%
≤30d 13 +104.7% +85.2% 77% 77% +38.6%
≤90d 13 +104.7% +85.2% 77% 77% +38.6%
all 13 +104.7% +85.2% 77% 77% +38.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +85.2% 77% +38.6%
10% +67.5% 69% +25.3%
15% +51.3% 62% +13.2%
20% +36.5% 54% +2.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $21.80 · official $21.80 (match) · 32 history records