Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T16:29:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A5
0xa5dc…ec43
sports · 1071 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$202,590 -31%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$114,693 · open −$61
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,256
Realized−$114,693
Unrealized−$61
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses572 / 487
Whale WR (big bets)72%
Est. fees paid−$4,683
Open positions8
Markets (closed)1059 / 1071
History coverage78d
Avg bet$606
Trades / day34.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 8 History 1059 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,078
7 days+$3,975
14 days+$5,264
30 days+$6,975
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 56¢ 46¢ $500 $415 −$85 (-17%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 Under 54¢ 55¢ $152 $154 +$2 (+1%)
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5 Under 69¢ 69¢ $150 $151 +$1 (+1%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5 Over 66¢ 66¢ $150 $149 −$1 (-1%)
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) Vitality 53¢ 71¢ $100 $134 +$34 (+34%)
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Yes 51¢ 50¢ $100 $99 −$1 (-1%)
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 Under 53¢ 52¢ $101 $98 −$3 (-3%)
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $64 $56 −$8 (-12%)
Jalen Williams: Points O/U 17.5 Yes 53¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers Los Angeles Dodgers 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Over 59¢ 0¢ $59 $0 −$59 (-100%)
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5 Under 52¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates No 57¢ 0¢ $352 $0 −$352 (-100%)
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs No 56¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
New York Yankees vs. New York Mets New York Yankees 29¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Spread: Pistons (-3.5) Cavaliers 50¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Weibo Gaming 65¢ 0¢ $71 $0 −$71 (-100%)
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies Yes 57¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Flavio Cobolli 11¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Spread: Spurs (-2.5) Thunder 50¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner Nongshim Red Force 25¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Team Liquid 61¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG - Map 2 Winner BIG 65¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 53¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $720 +$280 +39%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner Jun 14 $101 +$71 +70%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 14 $101 −$100 -99%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $101 −$100 -99%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $102 −$100 -98%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $404 +$230 +57%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 15.5 Jun 14 $202 +$131 +65%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 17.5 Jun 14 $101 +$36 +36%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 16.5 Jun 14 $404 +$220 +54%
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $8,041 +$1,598 +20%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $203 −$200 -99%
Spread: Spurs (-4.5) Jun 13 $507 −$500 -99%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 13 $202 +$106 +52%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 13 $405 −$400 -99%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $202 −$200 -99%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $253 −$250 -99%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $51 −$50 -98%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 13 $101 −$100 -99%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $102 −$100 -98%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $101 −$100 -99%
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) Jun 13 $102 +$103 +101%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $52 +$48 +93%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5 Jun 13 $101 +$77 +76%
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) Jun 13 $101 +$85 +84%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 13 $303 +$130 +43%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 13 $101 +$78 +77%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $101 +$58 +57%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $20 +$27 +130%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $712 +$221 +31%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $51 +$47 +93%
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) Jun 12 $51 −$50 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $110 +$90 +82%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $106 −$106 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $92 −$90 -98%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 AND Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1 Jun 12 $51 +$148 +290%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $203 +$97 +48%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $121 +$79 +65%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 AND Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $51 +$45 +88%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $1,211 +$508 +42%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $101 +$55 +55%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $101 +$80 +79%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $101 +$68 +67%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $102 +$131 +129%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 11 $101 +$71 +70%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $303 +$145 +48%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $101 +$77 +76%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) Jun 11 $101 −$100 -99%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $59 −$58 -99%
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $50 −$49 -98%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 11 $202 +$131 +65%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 93% −$115,638
other 7% +$884
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? AND BUY 58¢ $203 1h
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 51¢ $101 1h
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 69¢ $151 1h
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 55¢ $101 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 66¢ $152 1h
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BUY Vitality 53¢ $101 1h
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY Yes 4¢ $17 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 60¢ $101 5h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY Gen.G 58¢ $101 7h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 58¢ $101 8h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 72¢ $498 9h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 72¢ $222 10h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 44¢ $102 10h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 57¢ $101 12h
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 83¢ $8,041 15h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $404 16h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 16.5 BUY Under 64¢ $404 16h
Spread: Spurs (-4.5) BUY Spurs 55¢ $304 16h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Milwaukee Brewers 61¢ $101 17h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Milwaukee Brewers 61¢ $202 17h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $101 18h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 60¢ $101 23h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 44¢ $51 24h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 17.5 BUY Under 73¢ $101 24h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 15.5 BUY Under 60¢ $202 24h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Milwaukee Brewers 61¢ $101 24h
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians BUY Detroit Tigers 56¢ $101 24h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 65¢ $202 24h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY Toronto Blue Jays 50¢ $102 24h
Spread: Spurs (-4.5) BUY Spurs 55¢ $203 24h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-10.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 84 +3.3% -6.5% 58% 58% +5.9%
≤30d 402 -2.3% -11.6% 54% 53% -1.7%
≤90d 1059 -0.5% -10.0% 54% 53% -25.6%
all 1059 -0.5% -10.0% 54% 53% -25.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover34.3 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.0% 53% -25.6%
10% -18.6% 51% -32.7%
15% ← realistic here -26.5% 48% -39.2%
20% -33.7% 41% -45.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,255.78 · official $1,452.97 · 3500 history records