Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T17:23:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A5
0xa5de…5d66
crypto · 150 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
+$9 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$9 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$9
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses90 / 60
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)150 / 150
History coverage4d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day68.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 0 History 150 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$59
7 days+$9
14 days+$9
30 days+$9
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +7%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $3 +$5 +156%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$3 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$8 +166%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $7 +$3 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$3 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$3 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +23%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 11 $8 −$7 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 11 $8 +$3 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 11 $25 +$13 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 11 $27 −$25 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -93%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 10 $40 +$20 +51%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 10 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 10 $7 −$5 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$2 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 10 $18 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 10 $30 $0 -1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$4 +189%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 10 $13 +$5 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 10 $25 +$11 +42%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 90% +$21
other 9% −$27
sports 1% +$14
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $5 16h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $3 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET SELL Down 61¢ $3 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $12 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $2 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET SELL Down 5¢ $0 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET SELL Up 81¢ $13 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $5 16h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $6 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $2 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $7 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $7 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $2 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $2 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET SELL Down 6¢ $0 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6PM ET SELL Down 45¢ $2 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 18h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-14.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 150 -5.6% -14.6% 60% 55% -7.9%
≤30d 150 -5.6% -14.6% 60% 55% -7.9%
≤90d 150 -5.6% -14.6% 60% 55% -7.9%
all 150 -5.6% -14.6% 60% 55% -7.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover68.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.6% 55% -7.9%
10% ← realistic here -22.7% 43% -16.7%
15% -30.2% 31% -24.7%
20% -37.1% 22% -32.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 322 history records