Wallet analysis

2026-06-26T21:31:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1.0
score
A5 0xa5ef…00fc crypto 48 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (74 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$52 (+3%) realized +$52 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -20% what you keep after slip
Net edge-20%after slip
Net WR2%break-even
Win rate100%48W / 0L
Drawdown0%max
Avg bet$39per market
Trades / day74.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$67
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (74 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-5.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 48 +4.3% -5.7% 100% 2% -6.3%
≤30d 48 +4.3% -5.7% 100% 2% -6.3%
≤90d 48 +4.3% -5.7% 100% 2% -6.3%
all 48 +4.3% -5.7% 100% 2% -6.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover74.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.7% 2% -6.3%
10% ← realistic here -14.7% 2% -15.2%
15% -22.9% 2% -23.4%
20% -30.5% 2% -30.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 12% · top 2 18% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
98% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +4% · $-wt +4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +5% → late +3% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs — no data
Profit factor
— no data
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$52
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses48 / 0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)48 / 48
History coverage1d
Avg bet$39
Trades / day74.0
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 48 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 26 $57 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 26 $56 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 26 $41 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 26 $54 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 26 $54 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 26 $54 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 26 $52 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 26 $52 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 26 $12 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 26 $51 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 26 $50 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 26 $47 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 26 $47 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 26 $46 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 26 $45 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 26 $45 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 26 $44 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 26 $43 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 26 $43 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 26 $42 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 26 $42 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 26 $39 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 26 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 26 $39 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 26 $39 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 26 $37 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 26 $37 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 26 $37 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 26 $36 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 26 $36 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 26 $36 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 26 $35 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 26 $34 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 26 $34 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 26 $34 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 26 $32 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 26 $32 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 26 $32 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 26 $31 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 26 $31 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 26 $31 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 26 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 26 $26 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 26 $13 +$8 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 26 $26 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 26 $26 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 26 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 26 $25 +$1 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $13 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $45 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $17 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $3 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $13 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $22 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $4 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $14 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $4 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $6 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $8 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $46 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $54 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $54 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $47 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $47 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $46 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $42 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $45 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 122 history records