trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +0.8% | -8.8% | 100% | 0% | -8.6% |
| ≤30d | 6 | -2.5% | -11.8% | 83% | 0% | -10.3% |
| ≤90d | 16 | -0.7% | -10.1% | 94% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 25 | -0.4% | -9.9% | 80% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.9% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.5% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.4% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.6% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | Jun 29 | $1,198 | +$19 | +2% |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect | Jun 22 | $604 | $0 | +0% |
| Trump out as President by June 30? | Jun 17 | $302 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Jun 11 | $1,125 | +$3 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? | Jun 05 | $337 | −$58 | -17% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May? | Jun 02 | $338 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May? | May 24 | $336 | $0 | +0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | May 22 | $335 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | May 18 | $1,336 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 06 | $332 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | May 04 | $334 | $0 | +0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | May 01 | $328 | +$6 | +2% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee | Apr 25 | $327 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April? | Apr 20 | $651 | +$3 | +0% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June | Apr 12 | $320 | +$4 | +1% |
| Will Trần Cẩm Tú be the next President of Vietnam? | Apr 11 | $1,269 | +$4 | +0% |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on I | Mar 29 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | Mar 24 | $633 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 m | Mar 20 | $631 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31? | Mar 18 | $316 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March | Mar 14 | $628 | +$2 | +0% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March | Mar 09 | $331 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | Mar 04 | $1,281 | −$12 | -1% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | Feb 02 | $642 | +$2 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 28? | Jan 28 | $316 | +$2 | +1% |