Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T09:18:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
A5 0xa5fd…8b3e crypto 610 markets active 0h ago coverage 29d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (55 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$40 (+1%) realized +$40 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR48%break-even
Win rate53%325W / 285L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$6per market
Trades / day55.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$20
14 days−$319
30 days−$102
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$102
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (55 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-11.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 49 -9.8% -18.4% 51% 47% -18.7%
≤30d 610 -1.6% -11.0% 53% 48% -11.9%
≤90d 610 -1.6% -11.0% 53% 48% -11.9%
all 610 -1.6% -11.0% 53% 48% -11.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover55.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.0% 48% -11.9%
10% ← realistic here -19.5% 39% -20.4%
15% -27.3% 31% -28.0%
20% -34.4% 23% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
9% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +8% → late -11% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.7 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$4 · ×0.8 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.92 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

29d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$40
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses325 / 285
Open positions0
Markets (closed)610 / 610
History coverage29d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day55.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 610 Trades
no open positions (124 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 17 $9 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 17 $3 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$1 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$2 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$1 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$3 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$2 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$2 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$2 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 11 $7 −$2 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $12 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 10 $6 −$3 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 10 $7 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 10 $6 −$3 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 10 $6 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 10 $4 −$2 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 10 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 10 $10 −$8 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 10 $6 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +26%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET SELL Up 89¢ $3 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $2 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET SELL Up 54¢ $2 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET SELL Up 57¢ $2 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $2 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET SELL Up 63¢ $3 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET SELL Down 72¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET SELL Up 40¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $2 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET SELL Down 19¢ $1 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET SELL Up 88¢ $4 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET SELL Down 63¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET SELL Down 75¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $4 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1741 history records