trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 12% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 8 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 12% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 15 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 7% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 21 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 5% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.6% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.3% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.1% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Jun 27 | $1,316 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30? | Jun 27 | $54 | $0 | -0% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June? | Jun 26 | $31 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Donald Trump enter Iran by June 30? | Jun 26 | $1,212 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 25? | Jun 26 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas finish in second place in the first round of | Jun 25 | $1,246 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | Jun 25 | $24 | $0 | -0% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | Jun 25 | $1,225 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Yoo Seong-min win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Electi | Apr 23 | $206 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Apr 21 | $226 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026? | Apr 18 | $209 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Apr 18 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30? | Apr 17 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? | Apr 16 | $211 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? | Apr 16 | $209 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Mar 29 | $36 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026? | Mar 28 | $20 | $0 | -0% |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | Mar 28 | $69 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 25 | $134 | $0 | -0% |
| AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026? | Mar 25 | $26 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of March? | Mar 25 | $51 | $0 | -0% |