Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T14:27:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A6
0xa623…a4fe
sports · 696 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$9,382 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$448 · open −$728
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$9,969
Realized−$448
Unrealized−$728
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses321 / 338
Whale WR (big bets)53%
Est. fees paid−$2,849
Open positions39
Markets (closed)659 / 696
History coverage9d
Avg bet$369
Trades / day275.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 39 History 659 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$142
7 days−$4,668
14 days−$448
30 days−$448
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? No 98¢ 98¢ $1,085 $1,089 +$4 (+0%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner FUT Esports 60¢ 100¢ $460 $765 +$304 (+66%)
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? No 88¢ 88¢ $737 $741 +$4 (+1%)
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? Yes 67¢ 66¢ $669 $664 −$5 (-1%)
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) Japan 75¢ 78¢ $585 $604 +$20 (+3%)
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? No 97¢ 97¢ $576 $576 +$0 (+0%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 55¢ 42¢ $689 $531 −$158 (-23%)
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Golden Knights 48¢ 48¢ $533 $528 −$6 (-1%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 47¢ 48¢ $522 $528 +$6 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 55¢ 57¢ $488 $511 +$22 (+5%)
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Yes 51¢ 50¢ $509 $504 −$5 (-1%)
Spread: Germany (-3.5) Curaçao 52¢ 50¢ $515 $495 −$21 (-4%)
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? No 90¢ 90¢ $325 $327 +$2 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 47¢ 22¢ $520 $250 −$270 (-52%)
HSBC Championships: Donna Vekic vs Emma Raducanu Donna Vekic 76¢ 76¢ $239 $241 +$1 (+1%)
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Zeynep Sonmez vs Hannah Klugman Zeynep Sonmez 98¢ 100¢ $220 $223 +$3 (+2%)
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? No 24¢ 24¢ $172 $176 +$4 (+2%)
Will France win on 2026-06-16? No 33¢ 34¢ $172 $174 +$3 (+2%)
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? No 93¢ 93¢ $143 $142 −$1 (-0%)
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? No 95¢ 96¢ $109 $110 +$0 (+0%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 10.5 Under 81¢ 80¢ $96 $96 −$1 (-1%)
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? No 10¢ 10¢ $91 $87 −$5 (-5%)
Spread: Uruguay (-1.5) Saudi Arabia 59¢ 60¢ $80 $82 +$2 (+3%)
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 3.5 Under 62¢ 62¢ $70 $71 +$1 (+1%)
England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5 Over 44¢ 44¢ $70 $70 −$1 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Belinda Bencic Jun 14 $179 −$6 -3%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 14 $2,470 −$1,118 -45%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell Jun 14 $456 +$109 +24%
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Celine Naef Jun 14 $88 +$25 +29%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner Jun 14 $3,557 +$1,473 +41%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $1,598 −$710 -44%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $1,088 +$684 +63%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $873 −$555 -64%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $371 −$371 -100%
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) Jun 14 $487 +$203 +42%
Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 Jun 14 $45 −$45 -100%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5 Jun 14 $320 +$72 +22%
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-4.5) Jun 14 $16 +$7 +45%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 14 $175 −$83 -47%
Spread: Athletics (-2.5) Jun 14 $54 −$54 -100%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Jun 14 $154 +$162 +105%
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5) Jun 14 $72 +$89 +124%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 11.5 Jun 14 $76 +$21 +27%
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 173.5 Jun 14 $50 +$49 +97%
Spread: Knicks (-1.5) Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5 Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $453 −$93 -20%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 209.5 Jun 14 $67 −$67 -100%
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5) Jun 14 $55 −$55 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 205.5 Jun 14 $91 −$91 -100%
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 14 $324 −$197 -61%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5 Jun 14 $46 +$47 +101%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5 Jun 14 $29 +$20 +67%
Spread: Spurs (-11.5) Jun 14 $64 +$53 +83%
Spread: Spurs (-7.5) Jun 14 $58 +$59 +101%
Spread: Spurs (-9.5) Jun 14 $86 +$86 +101%
Spread: Knicks (-16.5) Jun 14 $233 +$19 +8%
Spread: Spurs (-4.5) Jun 14 $182 +$207 +114%
Spread: Knicks (-14.5) Jun 14 $97 +$9 +10%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 201.5 Jun 14 $81 +$17 +21%
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) Jun 14 $367 −$367 -100%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $28 +$95 +344%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 6.5 Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Haiti vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $927 +$184 +20%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $424 +$575 +135%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $199 −$199 -100%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $1,557 −$446 -29%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $3,570 +$1,245 +35%
Spread: Brazil (-2.5) Jun 14 $171 +$27 +16%
Spread: Morocco (-1.5) Jun 14 $184 +$9 +5%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $45 −$45 -100%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 13 $158 +$57 +36%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 88% −$1,672
other 12% +$490
crypto 0% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 61¢ $274 0m
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alex de Minaur BUY Kamil Majchrzak 28¢ $32 0m
HSBC Championships: Donna Vekic vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 15¢ $17 5m
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 57¢ $18 5m
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 49¢ $54 7m
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 49¢ $221 7m
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 45¢ $37 8m
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 57¢ $46 8m
HSBC Championships: Donna Vekic vs Emma Raducanu BUY Donna Vekic 84¢ $95 8m
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 29¢ $33 9m
HSBC Championships: Donna Vekic vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 20¢ $22 10m
HSBC Championships: Donna Vekic vs Emma Raducanu BUY Donna Vekic 86¢ $197 14m
HSBC Championships: Donna Vekic vs Emma Raducanu BUY Donna Vekic 86¢ $168 15m
HSBC Championships: Donna Vekic vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 7¢ $15 16m
HSBC Championships: Donna Vekic vs Emma Raducanu BUY Donna Vekic 83¢ $94 20m
HSBC Championships: Donna Vekic vs Emma Raducanu BUY Donna Vekic 78¢ $83 21m
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Zeynep Sonmez vs Hannah Klugman BUY Hannah Klugman 6¢ $6 24m
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Zeynep Sonmez vs Hannah Klugman BUY Zeynep Sonmez 98¢ $222 25m
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Zeynep Sonmez vs Hannah Klugman BUY Zeynep Sonmez 98¢ $97 25m
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY MOUZ 80¢ $41 26m
HSBC Championships: Donna Vekic vs Emma Raducanu BUY Donna Vekic 58¢ $66 32m
HSBC Championships: Donna Vekic vs Emma Raducanu BUY Donna Vekic 58¢ $66 32m
HSBC Championships: Donna Vekic vs Emma Raducanu BUY Donna Vekic 58¢ $66 32m
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 9¢ $9 35m
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 16¢ $1 43m
HSBC Championships: Donna Vekic vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 43¢ $38 47m
HSBC Championships: Donna Vekic vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 35¢ $32 52m
HSBC Championships: Donna Vekic vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 37¢ $34 56m
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 37¢ $166 56m
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 55¢ $17 59m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-16.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 554 -7.1% -16.0% 49% 39% -11.7%
≤30d 659 -8.1% -16.9% 49% 39% -9.7%
≤90d 659 -8.1% -16.9% 49% 39% -9.7%
all 659 -8.1% -16.9% 49% 39% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover275.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.9% 39% -9.7%
10% ← realistic here -24.8% 32% -18.3%
15% -32.1% 25% -26.2%
20% -38.7% 20% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9,969.49 · official $9,969.50 (match) · 3500 history records