Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:39:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A6
0xa660…4ba9
crypto · 706 markets active 1h ago
1.5score
+$15 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$15 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized+$15
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses357 / 349
Open positions0
Markets (closed)706 / 706
History coverage9d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day77.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 706 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$17
7 days+$3
14 days+$15
30 days+$15
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 37¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 64¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 31¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 22¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 42¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 66¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 79¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Down 48¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Down 25¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 43¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Up 34¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Up 64¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Up 44¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 26¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 52¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 17¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 21¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Down $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 41¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Up 30¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 22¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 16¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 62¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 33¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 23¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$6 +266%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$6 +280%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$4 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +62%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $2 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-8.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 698 +0.7% -8.8% 50% 50% -9.3%
≤30d 706 +1.4% -8.3% 51% 51% -8.4%
≤90d 706 +1.4% -8.3% 51% 51% -8.4%
all 706 +1.4% -8.3% 51% 51% -8.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover77.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.3% 51% -8.4%
10% ← realistic here -17.0% 49% -17.2%
15% -25.1% 42% -25.2%
20% -32.4% 33% -32.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1261 history records