Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:54:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A6
0xa665…01e3
crypto · 451 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$23,619 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$23,619 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$23,619
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses264 / 500
Whale WR (big bets)83%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)764 / 451
History coverage8d
Avg bet$412
Trades / day424.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 764 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$52,769
7 days−$29,225
14 days−$23,619
30 days−$23,619
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $268 $0 −$268 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $757 $0 −$757 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 7, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $483 $0 −$483 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 7, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 8, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $245 $0 −$245 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - March 23, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $503 $0 −$503 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $188 $0 −$188 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $282 $0 −$282 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $85 $0 −$85 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 1, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $445 $0 −$445 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $96 $0 −$96 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $324 $0 −$324 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $111 $0 −$111 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $843 $0 −$843 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $170 $0 −$170 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 9, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $268 −$268 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $757 −$757 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 7, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $483 −$483 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 7, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $51 −$51 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 8, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $245 −$245 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 23, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $503 −$503 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $188 −$188 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $282 −$282 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $85 −$85 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 1, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $445 −$445 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $96 −$96 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $324 −$324 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $111 −$111 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $170 −$170 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 9, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $165 −$165 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $337 −$337 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $297 −$297 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $609 −$609 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $179 −$179 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 5, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $62 −$62 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 15, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $34 −$34 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $87 −$87 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $35 −$35 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 23, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 19, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $463 −$463 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $551 −$551 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 1, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $64 −$64 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $55 −$55 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $412 −$412 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $66 −$66 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $41 −$41 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 22, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 5, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 15, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $154 −$154 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$36,963
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $4 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $45 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $43 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $2 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $49 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $262 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $29 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $416 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $13 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $132 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $14 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $272 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $51 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $351 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $35 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $76 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $70 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $55 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $338 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $57 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-52.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 738 -51.6% -56.2% 32% 19% -23.0%
≤30d 764 -47.6% -52.6% 35% 20% -19.8%
≤90d 764 -47.6% -52.6% 35% 20% -19.8%
all 764 -47.6% -52.6% 35% 20% -19.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover424.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -52.6% 20% -19.8%
10% ← realistic here -57.1% 14% -27.5%
15% -61.3% 10% -34.5%
20% -65.1% 8% -40.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records