trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | +1.4% | -8.2% | 80% | 0% | -8.6% |
| ≤30d | 13 | +0.8% | -8.8% | 62% | 0% | -8.4% |
| ≤90d | 13 | +0.8% | -8.8% | 62% | 0% | -8.4% |
| all | 23 | +1.2% | -8.4% | 65% | 0% | -8.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.4% | 0% | -8.4% |
| 10% | -17.2% | 0% | -17.1% |
| 15% | -25.2% | 0% | -25.1% |
| 20% | -32.5% | 0% | -32.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 2¢ | 1¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-49%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Jun 20 | $16 | +$1 | +6% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31? | Jun 20 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30? | Jun 20 | $39 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 18 | $47 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 18 | $42 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 02 | $76 | $0 | +0% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | Jun 02 | $38 | $0 | -0% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | Jun 01 | $39 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 01 | $46 | +$2 | +4% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | May 31 | $4 | $0 | -12% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 28 | $34 | +$3 | +10% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | May 27 | $73 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by Ma | May 26 | $71 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Botafogo RJ win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Dec 13 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Elon Musk buy TikTok before July? | Jun 26 | $10 | $0 | +4% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | Jun 02 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Jean-Marc Aveline be the next pope? | May 10 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League? | Apr 18 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 6-9%? | Apr 18 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 31 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 26 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ethereum hit $2,600.00 again by March 31? | Mar 23 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his DOJ appearance on Frid | Mar 20 | $11 | +$1 | +5% |