trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +41.1% | +27.7% | 75% | 75% | +25.2% |
| ≤30d | 6 | -5.9% | -14.9% | 50% | 50% | +6.1% |
| ≤90d | 72 | -0.6% | -10.0% | 60% | 36% | -9.5% |
| all | 72 | -0.6% | -10.0% | 60% | 36% | -9.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.0% | 36% | -9.5% |
| 10% | -18.7% | 28% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -26.5% | 15% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -33.7% | 10% | -33.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Yes | 66¢ | 38¢ | $163 | $93 | −$70 (-43%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $37 | −$15 | -41% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $30 | +$21 | +70% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $30 | +$22 | +73% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $40 | +$25 | +62% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Chisinau: Filip Jianu vs Franco Agamenone | Jun 11 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | Apr 29 | $3 | +$1 | +29% |
| Heat vs. Pacers | Apr 23 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bruins vs. Sabres | Apr 23 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Hornets vs. Magic | Apr 23 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Apr 23 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Celtics vs. Knicks | Apr 23 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Timberwolves vs. Pistons | Apr 23 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Ducks vs. Oilers | Apr 23 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Penguins vs. Blues | Apr 23 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | Apr 21 | $2 | +$1 | +29% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | Apr 20 | $1 | $0 | +16% |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Houston Astros | Apr 20 | $1 | $0 | +21% |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies | Apr 20 | $1 | $0 | +31% |
| Hawks vs. Knicks | Apr 19 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Blues vs. Utah | Apr 18 | $1 | +$1 | +61% |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians | Apr 18 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Ducks vs. Wild | Apr 16 | $2 | $0 | +25% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Suns | Apr 15 | $2 | −$1 | -58% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 m | Apr 15 | $7,460 | −$8 | -0% |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 15 | $314 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Apr 15 | $315 | $0 | -0% |
| Avalanche vs. Flames | Apr 15 | $3 | −$1 | -20% |
| Hurricanes vs. Flyers | Apr 15 | $1 | +$1 | +100% |
| Wild vs. Blues | Apr 15 | $2 | +$2 | +77% |
| Sharks vs. Predators | Apr 15 | $3 | +$1 | +43% |
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April | Apr 14 | $652 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 14 | $3,389 | −$3 | -0% |
| Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewers | Apr 13 | $2 | $0 | +24% |
| Boston Red Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals | Apr 13 | $4 | $0 | +12% |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 12 | $324 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Apr 12 | $3,228 | −$3 | -0% |
| Thunder vs. Nuggets | Apr 12 | $1 | $0 | +29% |
| Grizzlies vs. Jazz | Apr 12 | $1 | $0 | +48% |
| Suns vs. Lakers | Apr 12 | $2 | +$1 | +62% |
| Pacers vs. Nets | Apr 11 | $1 | $0 | +8% |
| Bulls vs. Wizards | Apr 11 | $1 | $0 | +38% |
| Grizzlies vs. Nuggets | Apr 10 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Mavericks vs. Suns | Apr 10 | $1 | $0 | +10% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | Apr 10 | $1 | $0 | +23% |
| Pistons vs. 76ers | Apr 09 | $1 | $0 | +7% |
| Raptors vs. Grizzlies | Apr 05 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Magic vs. Mavericks | Apr 05 | $1 | $0 | +8% |
| Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Apr 04 | $342 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 04 | $695 | −$1 | -0% |