Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:24:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A6
0xa66c…5435
sports · 22 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$25 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$18 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$0
Realized−$18
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses13 / 9
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)22 / 22
History coverage1d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day49.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 0 History 22 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$18
7 days−$18
14 days−$18
30 days−$18
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 64¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 58¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Nottingham 2: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Michael Zheng Jun 14 $10 +$4 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$2 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $21 −$13 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $16 +$19 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $16 +$3 +16%
Halle Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Alex Bolt Jun 14 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Nottingham 2: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Mackenzie McDonald Jun 14 $5 +$7 +135%
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alex de Minaur Jun 14 $5 +$2 +36%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritz Jun 14 $4 +$2 +61%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Jun 14 $10 +$1 +6%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $20 −$20 -99%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $20 +$3 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $20 −$20 -99%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $20 +$8 +38%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Johannus Monday vs Giovanni Mpetshi Jun 13 $5 −$5 -91%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata Jun 13 $10 +$2 +18%
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel Jun 13 $2 −$1 -43%
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler Jun 13 $10 +$6 +56%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 43% +$6
crypto 35% −$8
other 18% −$17
world 4% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Nottingham 2: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Michael Zheng SELL Michael Zheng 51¢ $14 37m
Nottingham 2: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Michael Zheng BUY Michael Zheng 36¢ $10 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET SELL Down 40¢ $4 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Down 38¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET SELL Up $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET SELL Up 93¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET SELL Down $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET SELL Up 93¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Down 33¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Down 33¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET SELL Up 47¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET SELL Down 17¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET SELL Down 17¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET SELL Up 76¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET SELL Up 68¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Alex Bolt SELL Mattia Bellucci 83¢ $6 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-15.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 22 -6.8% -15.6% 59% 50% -16.7%
≤30d 22 -6.8% -15.6% 59% 50% -16.7%
≤90d 22 -6.8% -15.6% 59% 50% -16.7%
all 22 -6.8% -15.6% 59% 50% -16.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover49.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.6% 50% -16.7%
10% ← realistic here -23.7% 36% -24.7%
15% -31.1% 32% -32.0%
20% -37.8% 18% -38.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 58 history records