Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:40:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A6
0xa684…19a6
crypto · 63 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$214 -17%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$219 · open −$10
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized−$219
Unrealized−$10
Win rate (resolved)23%
Wins / losses13 / 43
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions7
Markets (closed)56 / 63
History coverage105d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day0.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 7 History 56 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$1
14 days−$1
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 12¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+10%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+0%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 10¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 3¢ 2¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-6%)
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $56 $0 −$56 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 3, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Gujarat Titans Gujarat Titans 41¢ 0¢ $147 $0 −$147 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $10 −$1 -6%
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Gujarat Titans Mar 31 $149 −$147 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Mar 03 $9 −$9 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 3, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Mar 03 $8 −$8 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 3, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Mar 03 $2 −$2 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Mar 02 $10 −$10 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Mar 02 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Mar 02 $19 −$19 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Mar 02 $10 +$9 +95%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Mar 02 $10 −$10 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Mar 02 $10 −$10 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Mar 02 $10 −$10 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Mar 02 $10 −$10 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Mar 02 $10 −$10 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Mar 02 $10 −$10 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Mar 02 $40 −$40 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Mar 02 $10 −$10 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Mar 02 $59 −$58 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Mar 02 $10 −$10 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Mar 02 $10 −$10 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Mar 02 $10 −$10 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Mar 02 $20 −$20 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Mar 02 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Mar 02 $10 −$10 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Mar 02 $10 −$10 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Mar 02 $10 −$10 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Mar 02 $41 +$78 +190%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Mar 02 $10 +$30 +298%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Mar 02 $57 −$56 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Mar 02 $10 −$10 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Mar 02 $72 +$95 +131%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Mar 02 $10 −$10 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Mar 02 $40 +$42 +106%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Mar 02 $10 −$10 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Mar 02 $10 −$10 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Mar 02 $11 −$11 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Mar 02 $11 −$11 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Mar 01 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Mar 01 $11 −$11 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Mar 01 $45 −$45 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Mar 01 $11 +$34 +313%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Mar 01 $66 −$65 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Mar 01 $32 +$34 +106%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Mar 01 $101 +$111 +110%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Mar 01 $51 +$50 +98%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Mar 01 $8 +$43 +522%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Mar 01 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Mar 01 $10 +$5 +54%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Mar 01 $10 −$10 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Mar 01 $20 −$20 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 86% −$72
sports 13% −$157
other 2% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 54¢ $10 1h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 32¢ $10 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 56¢ $10 1h
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 15h
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 5¢ $1 15h
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 10¢ $2 15h
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $2 15h
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $2 15h
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 17¢ $2 15h
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Gujarat Titans BUY Gujarat Titans 41¢ $149 74d
Ethereum Up or Down - March 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $9 102d
Ethereum Up or Down - March 3, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $8 102d
Ethereum Up or Down - March 3, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 102d
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $10 103d
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $10 103d
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $19 103d
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $19 103d
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 103d
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $10 103d
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $10 103d
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $10 103d
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $10 103d
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $10 103d
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $10 103d
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $40 103d
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $10 103d
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $59 103d
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $10 103d
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $10 103d
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $10 103d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-39.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -6.2% -15.1% 0% 0% -15.1%
≤30d 1 -6.2% -15.1% 0% 0% -15.1%
≤90d 2 -53.1% -57.6% 0% 0% -94.5%
all 56 -33.6% -39.9% 23% 23% -25.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -39.9% 23% -25.8%
10% -45.7% 23% -32.9%
15% -50.9% 23% -39.4%
20% -55.8% 23% -45.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.81 · official $9.81 (match) · 82 history records