Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T00:54:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
A6 0xa696…4bee crypto 400 markets active 11h ago coverage 16d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (58 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$6 (+0%) realized +$6 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR24%break-even
Win rate59%235W / 165L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day58.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$24
7 days−$46
14 days−$41
30 days−$58
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$58
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (58 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-13.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 235 -3.9% -13.1% 60% 15% -12.6%
≤30d 400 -3.9% -13.0% 59% 24% -12.2%
≤90d 400 -3.9% -13.0% 59% 24% -12.2%
all 400 -3.9% -13.0% 59% 24% -12.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover58.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.0% 24% -12.2%
10% ← realistic here -21.3% 18% -20.6%
15% -28.9% 17% -28.3%
20% -35.9% 15% -35.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 11% · top 2 13% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
58% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -4% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -8% → late -0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.0 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$2 · ×0.59 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.84 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

16d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$6
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses235 / 165
Open positions0
Markets (closed)400 / 400
History coverage16d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day58.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 400 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 17 $16 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 17 $25 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 17 $9 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 17 $9 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 17 $9 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 17 $6 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 17 $2 +$1 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 17 $2 +$2 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 17 $2 +$2 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 17 $9 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 17 $7 +$3 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 17 $6 −$1 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 17 $2 +$3 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 17 $7 −$2 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 17 $9 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 17 $9 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 16 $7 +$3 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 16 $7 −$2 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 16 $9 +$1 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET SELL Down 37¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET SELL Up 65¢ $10 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1393 history records