Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:09:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A6
0xa697…59d5
sports · 207 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$30,918 +14%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$32,898 · open −$4,011
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$102,971
Realized+$32,898
Unrealized−$4,011
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses40 / 31
Whale WR (big bets)56%
Est. fees paid−$2,683
Open positions171
Markets (closed)71 / 207
History coverage1d
Avg bet$1,081
Trades / day3116.0
Drawdown6%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 171 History 71 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$32,898
7 days+$32,898
14 days+$32,898
30 days+$32,898
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? No 83¢ 80¢ $6,398 $6,142 −$256 (-4%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Over 43¢ 78¢ $2,847 $5,089 +$2,242 (+79%)
Brazil leading at halftime? No 56¢ 100¢ $2,191 $3,887 +$1,696 (+77%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? No 72¢ 72¢ $3,596 $3,625 +$29 (+1%)
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) Haiti 62¢ 60¢ $3,309 $3,243 −$66 (-2%)
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? No 82¢ 82¢ $2,849 $2,881 +$32 (+1%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Washington Nationals 52¢ 100¢ $1,331 $2,559 +$1,229 (+92%)
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Los Angeles Dodgers 53¢ 100¢ $1,344 $2,536 +$1,192 (+89%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? No 41¢ 56¢ $1,680 $2,248 +$568 (+34%)
Morocco leading at halftime? No 84¢ 96¢ $1,851 $2,116 +$264 (+14%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5 Under 49¢ 52¢ $1,971 $2,086 +$115 (+6%)
Spread: Germany (-3.5) Germany 48¢ 48¢ $2,048 $2,034 −$14 (-1%)
Spread: Spurs (-4.5) Spurs 53¢ 55¢ $1,842 $1,884 +$42 (+2%)
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? No 83¢ 84¢ $1,838 $1,863 +$25 (+1%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Philadelphia Phillies 40¢ 40¢ $1,760 $1,730 −$30 (-2%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 64¢ 64¢ $1,677 $1,673 −$4 (-0%)
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees New York Yankees 52¢ 52¢ $1,648 $1,626 −$22 (-1%)
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Team Liquid 45¢ 100¢ $704 $1,564 +$860 (+122%)
Spread: Spurs (-6.5) Spurs 46¢ 46¢ $1,297 $1,323 +$26 (+2%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5 Under 49¢ 50¢ $1,296 $1,307 +$11 (+1%)
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Chicago Cubs 53¢ 52¢ $1,309 $1,270 −$39 (-3%)
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5 Under 53¢ 93¢ $694 $1,211 +$517 (+74%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 Under 51¢ 76¢ $803 $1,199 +$395 (+49%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox 57¢ 42¢ $1,564 $1,174 −$390 (-25%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 Over 46¢ 46¢ $1,143 $1,163 +$20 (+2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $19 −$17 -90%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $36 −$36 -100%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $372 −$72 -19%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $51 −$51 -100%
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5) Jun 13 $187 −$174 -93%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $2,720 −$466 -17%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $2,225 −$525 -24%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Jun 13 $1,870 −$352 -19%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 13 $4,920 −$569 -12%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 13 $1,774 +$485 +27%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $2,313 +$824 +36%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $287 +$219 +76%
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) Jun 13 $1,177 +$397 +34%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $560 +$840 +150%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $1 +$1 +170%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $883 −$139 -16%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $1,921 +$953 +50%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $334 +$115 +34%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $29 −$9 -30%
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) Jun 13 $460 −$60 -13%
Game Handicap: HRTS (-1.5) vs Eintracht Spandau (+1.5) Jun 13 $52 −$52 -100%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P Jun 13 $193 −$91 -47%
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Jun 13 $264 −$264 -100%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $10,034 −$508 -5%
Switzerland leading at halftime? Jun 13 $2,536 −$1,136 -45%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $1,526 +$933 +61%
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5) Jun 13 $804 +$355 +44%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
La Laguna Tenerife vs. Barcelona Jun 13 $74 +$50 +67%
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5) Jun 13 $184 +$247 +134%
Granit Xhaka: 1+ assists Jun 13 $51 +$19 +37%
Everton de Viña del Mar vs. CD Palestino: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $1,893 −$122 -6%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Draw at halftime? Jun 13 $164 −$164 -100%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $296 −$296 -100%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $5,708 +$1 +0%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $3,480 −$272 -8%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? Jun 13 $2,990 +$6,996 +234%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 13 $421 +$440 +104%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $2,936 +$5,646 +192%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $491 +$3,883 +790%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $4,350 +$3,041 +70%
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Jun 13 $1,627 +$6,034 +371%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $6,585 +$3,828 +58%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 11.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $0 +$1 +300%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $785 +$728 +93%
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5) Jun 13 $333 −$333 -100%
Breel Embolo: 1+ goals Jun 13 $343 +$57 +17%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $1,215 +$730 +60%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 80% +$26,725
other 19% +$2,148
crypto 0% +$14
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Spurs (-7.5) BUY Spurs 42¢ $4 0m
Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 2.5 BUY Under 64¢ $8 0m
Spread: Spurs (-7.5) BUY Spurs 42¢ $17 0m
Spread: Spurs (-6.5) BUY Spurs 45¢ $52 0m
Spread: Spurs (-6.5) BUY Spurs 45¢ $308 0m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 64¢ $96 1m
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 10.5 BUY Over 32¢ $47 1m
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 BUY Under 50¢ $282 1m
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Houston Astros 45¢ $450 1m
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Haiti 60¢ $79 2m
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Houston Astros 45¢ $51 2m
Spread: Spurs (-7.5) BUY Spurs 42¢ $137 2m
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Haiti 60¢ $15 2m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 64¢ $9 2m
Spread: Spurs (-7.5) BUY Spurs 42¢ $18 3m
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 48¢ $71 3m
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 48¢ $141 3m
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 48¢ $72 3m
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 48¢ $69 3m
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5 BUY Under 33¢ $7 4m
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Haiti 60¢ $15 5m
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Haiti 60¢ $207 5m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 81¢ $417 5m
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score BUY No 50¢ $226 5m
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 11.5 Total Corners BUY Over 24¢ $1 5m
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 11.5 Total Corners BUY Over 24¢ $8 5m
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 11.5 Total Corners BUY Over 24¢ $8 5m
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 11.5 Total Corners BUY Over 24¢ $8 5m
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 11.5 Total Corners BUY Over 24¢ $8 5m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 64¢ $151 5m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)+14.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 71 +26.1% +14.1% 56% 44% +27.1%
≤30d 71 +26.1% +14.1% 56% 44% +27.1%
≤90d 71 +26.1% +14.1% 56% 44% +27.1%
all 71 +26.1% +14.1% 56% 44% +27.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3116.0 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +14.1% 44% +27.1%
10% +3.2% 41% +14.9%
15% ← realistic here -6.8% 35% +3.8%
20% -15.9% 28% -6.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $102,970.57 · official $103,112.10 (match) · 3500 history records