Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T07:19:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A6
0xa697…e2ed
sports · 361 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$45 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$67 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$65
Realized−$67
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)7%
Wins / losses24 / 336
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)360 / 361
History coverage648d
Avg bet$63
Trades / day1.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit69%
Chart Positions 1 History 360 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$21
14 days−$29
30 days−$49
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 90¢ 90¢ $65 $65 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? Jun 14 $53 −$2 -3%
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 13 $52 $0 -1%
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026? Jun 13 $37 $0 -1%
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Jun 13 $146 $0 -0%
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 13 $55 $0 -0%
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series? Jun 12 $60 $0 -0%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? Jun 12 $91 $0 -0%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 11 $39 $0 -1%
Will Norway score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $9 $0 -2%
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 11 $161 −$2 -1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 11 $225 −$1 -0%
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 10 $52 −$1 -2%
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 10 $237 −$1 -0%
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $59 −$1 -1%
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 09 $56 $0 -1%
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? Jun 09 $108 −$2 -2%
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 09 $308 −$5 -2%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T? Jun 08 $48 −$1 -2%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meet Jun 08 $44 −$1 -2%
Will Belgium score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 08 $7 $0 -1%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 08 $52 $0 -0%
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? Jun 07 $42 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? Jun 07 $46 −$1 -2%
Will Mexico advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $55 −$1 -2%
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 06 $171 $0 +0%
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in Jun 06 $46 −$1 -2%
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 05 $112 −$1 -1%
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 05 $136 −$1 -0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June? Jun 05 $50 −$1 -1%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 05 $175 −$1 -0%
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 04 $60 $0 -0%
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Jun 04 $64 −$1 -1%
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Jun 03 $44 $0 -1%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 03 $112 −$1 -1%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? Jun 02 $58 $0 -1%
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 02 $277 −$1 -0%
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 01 $85 $0 -0%
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 01 $213 $0 -0%
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 31 $65 −$1 -2%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 31 $47 $0 -0%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 30 $47 $0 -0%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 30 $52 $0 -0%
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 30 $52 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? May 29 $52 $0 -1%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet May 28 $109 $0 -0%
Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series? May 28 $141 +$1 +0%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 28 $225 −$1 -0%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 27 $194 $0 -0%
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 27 $95 −$1 -1%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 26 $339 −$1 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 31% −$18
other 30% −$8
politics 25% −$19
economics 6% −$4
crypto 4% −$9
world 2% −$4
culture 1% −$2
tech 1% −$2
finance 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 90¢ $65 1h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? SELL No 90¢ $51 1h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? BUY No 92¢ $53 6h
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 96¢ $52 7h
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 96¢ $52 14h
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026? SELL No 94¢ $36 14h
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026? BUY No 94¢ $37 22h
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 96¢ $53 23h
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY No 96¢ $53 29h
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 98¢ $55 30h
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 98¢ $55 38h
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 96¢ $48 38h
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY No 96¢ $10 46h
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY No 96¢ $39 46h
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 96¢ $60 47h
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 96¢ $60 2d
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? SELL No 97¢ $37 2d
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? BUY No 96¢ $37 2d
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 96¢ $37 2d
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 96¢ $37 2d
Will Norway score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 93¢ $9 2d
Will Norway score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 95¢ $9 2d
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 97¢ $62 2d
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 97¢ $63 3d
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? SELL No 94¢ $51 3d
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? BUY No 94¢ $52 3d
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 92¢ $52 3d
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 93¢ $52 3d
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 98¢ $45 3d
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 98¢ $45 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-10.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 24 -1.1% -10.6% 0% 0% -10.5%
≤30d 76 -0.9% -10.4% 4% 0% -10.2%
≤90d 76 -0.9% -10.4% 4% 0% -10.2%
all 360 -0.8% -10.2% 7% 0% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.7 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.2% 0% -9.8%
10% -18.8% 0% -18.4%
15% -26.7% 0% -26.3%
20% -33.9% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $65.09 · official $65.09 (match) · 1296 history records