Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:38:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A6
0xa6b4…c385
crypto · 677 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,696 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,405 · open +$17
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$48
Realized−$3,405
Unrealized+$17
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses449 / 351
Open positions1
Markets (closed)800 / 677
History coverage4d
Avg bet$61
Trades / day749.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 800 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,877
7 days−$3,405
14 days−$3,405
30 days−$3,405
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 64¢ 100¢ $31 $48 +$17 (+55%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 72¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+39%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $114 $0 −$114 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $52 $0 −$52 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 14 $78 −$78 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $43 −$43 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $127 −$127 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $67 −$67 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 14 $74 −$74 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $64 −$64 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 14 $55 −$55 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 14 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$718
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $32 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $32 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $15 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $36 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $30 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $30 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $27 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $28 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $27 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $27 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $19 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $32 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $26 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-28.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 800 -21.2% -28.7% 56% 32% -17.5%
≤30d 800 -21.2% -28.7% 56% 32% -17.5%
≤90d 800 -21.2% -28.7% 56% 32% -17.5%
all 800 -21.2% -28.7% 56% 32% -17.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover749.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -28.7% 32% -17.5%
10% ← realistic here -35.5% 19% -25.4%
15% -41.8% 14% -32.6%
20% -47.5% 8% -39.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $48.36 · official $39.50 · 3500 history records