Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:40:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A6
0xa6b7…2309
crypto · 947 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$705 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$320 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$320
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)73%
Wins / losses690 / 257
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)947 / 947
History coverage12d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day245.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 947 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$92
7 days−$218
14 days−$320
30 days−$320
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$2 +218%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$2 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$1 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$319
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET SELL Up 6¢ $0 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET SELL Down 41¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-6.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 568 +3.4% -6.4% 73% 49% -14.6%
≤30d 947 +3.8% -6.1% 73% 47% -13.1%
≤90d 947 +3.8% -6.1% 73% 47% -13.1%
all 947 +3.8% -6.1% 73% 47% -13.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover245.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.1% 47% -13.1%
10% ← realistic here -15.1% 19% -21.4%
15% -23.3% 8% -29.0%
20% -30.8% 3% -36.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records