Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:31:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A6
0xa6bb…8515
crypto · 26 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$1,575 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,011 · open −$436
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$996
Realized+$2,011
Unrealized−$436
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses19 / 6
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)25 / 26
History coverage1d
Avg bet$1,334
Trades / day3475.0
Drawdown10%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 25 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2,011
7 days+$2,011
14 days+$2,011
30 days+$2,011
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 57¢ 96¢ $564 $951 +$387 (+69%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 48¢ 4¢ $481 $45 −$436 (-91%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $990 +$17 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $1,101 −$96 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $1,156 +$94 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $2,038 +$141 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $4,800 +$12 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $1,484 −$128 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $1,898 +$114 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $1,162 −$110 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $1,101 −$1 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $808 +$14 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $895 −$94 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $1,710 +$23 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $1,001 +$114 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $684 +$107 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $849 +$3 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $1,402 +$181 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $1,671 +$59 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $849 −$24 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $738 +$95 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $658 +$38 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $1,047 +$202 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $1,494 +$32 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $848 +$48 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $966 +$8 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $2,288 +$1,160 +51%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1,575
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $0 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $0 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $0 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $0 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $70 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $63 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $16 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $24 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $0 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $0 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $0 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $9 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $32 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $16 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 3m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-4.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 25 +5.1% -4.9% 76% 24% -4.1%
≤30d 25 +5.1% -4.9% 76% 24% -4.1%
≤90d 25 +5.1% -4.9% 76% 24% -4.1%
all 25 +5.1% -4.9% 76% 24% -4.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3475.0 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.9% 24% -4.1%
10% -14.0% 4% -13.3%
15% ← realistic here -22.3% 4% -21.7%
20% -29.9% 4% -29.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $996.00 · official $999.38 (match) · 3500 history records