Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:25:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A6
0xa6c3…e7c5
crypto · 439 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$242 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$214 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized+$214
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses209 / 229
Open positions1
Markets (closed)438 / 439
History coverage63d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day11.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 1 History 438 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$67
7 days+$104
14 days+$165
30 days+$178
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 48¢ 50¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $96 $0 −$96 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$11 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $18 +$22 +125%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $28 +$32 +115%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$14 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$3 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $228 +$172 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $158 −$153 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$13 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$10 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $49 +$51 +106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $34 −$33 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $31 +$24 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$3 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $108 +$92 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $57 −$55 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $23 +$32 +142%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $52 +$48 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $54 −$53 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$18 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$18 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% +$251
other 1% −$37
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $3 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $4 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $4 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $15 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $11 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $195 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $19 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-15.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 202 -8.2% -17.0% 43% 42% -6.2%
≤30d 299 -6.8% -15.7% 42% 41% -4.7%
≤90d 438 -6.5% -15.4% 48% 40% -4.7%
all 438 -6.5% -15.4% 48% 40% -4.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.4% 40% -4.7%
10% -23.5% 39% -13.8%
15% -30.9% 37% -22.1%
20% -37.7% 37% -29.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.99 · official $4.99 (match) · 1025 history records