Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T16:51:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
A6 0xa6c6…3d70 crypto 1658 markets active 0h ago coverage 40d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 40d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$7 (-0%) realized −$7 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR7%break-even
Win rate96%1594W / 64L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$3per market
Trades / day45.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days+$11
14 days+$17
30 days+$24
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +7%
net ROI/market (all)-9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 166 +1.7% -8.0% 98% 6% -7.9%
≤30d 1064 +0.6% -9.0% 97% 7% -8.8%
≤90d 1658 +0.0% -9.5% 96% 7% -9.7%
all 1658 +0.0% -9.5% 96% 7% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover45.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.5% 7% -9.7%
10% ← realistic here -18.2% 2% -18.3%
15% -26.1% 1% -26.2%
20% -33.3% 1% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
92% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late +0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$3 · ×0.04 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.95 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

40d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$7
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)96%
Wins / losses1594 / 64
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1658 / 1658
History coverage40d ⚠
Avg bet$3
Trades / day45.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1658 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 15 $4 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $4 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 15 $4 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 15 $4 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 15 $4 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 15 $4 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 15 $4 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 37m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $2 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 11h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 11h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 12h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 12h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 13h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 13h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 17h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records