Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:48:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A6
0xa6c9…2687
crypto · 86 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$260 -28%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$260 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$260
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses33 / 53
Open positions0
Markets (closed)86 / 86
History coverage119d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day2.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 86 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$24
7 days−$86
14 days−$86
30 days−$86
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on February 14? No 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$17 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$2 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$4 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$3 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 08 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 08 $8 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 08 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 08 $9 −$9 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1PM ET Jun 08 $11 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 08 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 08 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 07 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 07 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 07 $1 +$2 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 07 $22 −$20 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 07 $19 −$18 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 07 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11AM ET Jun 07 $22 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 07 $3 −$2 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET May 25 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Feb 14 $4 +$4 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Feb 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Feb 14 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Feb 14 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Feb 14 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Feb 14 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Feb 14 $20 −$20 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Feb 14 $7 −$7 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5AM ET Feb 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on February 14? Feb 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on February 14? Feb 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Feb 14 $24 −$2 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Feb 14 $7 −$7 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Feb 14 $50 +$7 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Feb 14 $20 +$17 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Feb 14 $6 −$6 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Feb 14 $20 −$2 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Feb 14 $20 +$6 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Feb 14 $16 −$2 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Feb 14 $4 −$3 -80%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$260
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET SELL Up 8¢ $3 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET SELL Up 79¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET SELL Up 42¢ $9 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-26.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 29 -52.2% -56.8% 34% 24% -45.5%
≤30d 30 -53.8% -58.2% 33% 23% -45.6%
≤90d 30 -53.8% -58.2% 33% 23% -45.6%
all 86 -19.1% -26.8% 38% 34% -36.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -26.8% 34% -36.4%
10% -33.8% 28% -42.5%
15% -40.2% 23% -48.0%
20% -46.1% 17% -53.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 302 history records