Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:48:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A6
0xa6cd…f008
sports · 809 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$274 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$263 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Net worth$33
Realized−$263
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)31%
Wins / losses236 / 529
Est. fees paid−$23
Open positions32
Markets (closed)765 / 809
History coverage120d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day8.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 32 History 765 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$34
7 days+$23
14 days+$46
30 days−$100
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 35¢ 38¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+9%)
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 19¢ 30¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+55%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $1 $1 +$0 (+15%)
Will João Fonseca be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? Yes $1 $1 +$0 (+10%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 11¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+7%)
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alex de Minaur Kamil Majchrzak 24¢ 24¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Halle Open: Zizou Bergs vs Taylor Fritz Zizou Bergs 25¢ 26¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Atlanta Dream vs. Toronto Tempo Toronto Tempo 30¢ 30¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritz Ben Shelton 46¢ 46¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? Yes $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Sinja Kraus Sinja Kraus 43¢ 42¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Diane Parry vs Ella Seidel Ella Seidel 39¢ 38¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 35¢ 34¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? Yes 30¢ 30¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Barbora Krejcikova Robin Montgomery 29¢ 28¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Nottingham Open: Sara Bejlek vs Emma Navarro Sara Bejlek 28¢ 28¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 28¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will Mirra Andreeva be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? Yes $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Nottingham 2: Yunchaokete Bu vs Otto Virtanen Yunchaokete Bu 48¢ 47¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Halle Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Frances Tiafoe Flavio Cobolli 46¢ 45¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallo Gabriel Diallo 18¢ 18¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Set Handicap: Raducanu (-1.5) vs Vekic (+1.5) Raducanu 37¢ 36¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondar Anna Bondar 42¢ 40¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-6%)
Grass Court Championships: Elise Mertens vs Liudmila Samsonova Liudmila Samsonova 33¢ 31¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-6%)
Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty Washington Mystics 16¢ 15¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-6%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 14 $11 +$31 +275%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $1 +$2 +172%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson Jun 13 $1 +$1 +129%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 13 $1 $0 -4%
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Donna Vekic Jun 13 $1 +$1 +105%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Ilkley: Mark Lajal vs Yunchaokete Bu Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Vitaliy Sachko Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Darja Vidmanova Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $1 +$1 +124%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $1 +$1 +105%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $1 +$2 +172%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $1 +$1 +129%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Gabriela Ruse Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1 +$2 +165%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Hynek Barton Jun 11 $1 +$1 +124%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO3) - Asia Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - Asia Mas Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Hanne Vandewinkel Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Federico Bondioli Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
HSBC Championships: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Pliskova Jun 10 $2 +$3 +165%
Libema Open: Thijs Boogaard vs Yibing Wu Jun 10 $1 +$5 +474%
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter Jun 10 $1 −$1 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 09 $1 −$1 -98%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 09 $1 −$1 -98%
Ilkley: Yunchaokete Bu vs Chris Rodesch Jun 09 $1 −$1 -98%
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Paula Badosa Jun 09 $2 +$2 +109%
HSBC Championships: Mika Stojsavljevic vs Marta Kostyuk Jun 09 $2 +$4 +215%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 08 $2 −$2 -98%
Modena: Xinyu Gao vs Lucia Bronzetti Jun 08 $2 −$2 -98%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Polina Kudermetova Jun 08 $2 −$2 -98%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Anna Blinkova Jun 08 $2 −$2 -98%
HSBC Championships: Karolina Pliskova vs McCartney Kessler Jun 08 $2 −$2 -98%
Spread: Knicks (-2.5) Jun 08 $2 −$2 -98%
Modena: Xiyu Wang vs Laura Samson Jun 08 $2 −$2 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 07 $4 −$4 -98%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $2 +$2 +105%
Birmingham: Arthur Fery vs Yunchaokete Bu Jun 07 $2 +$3 +128%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Talia Gibson vs Alina Charaeva Jun 07 $2 +$4 +188%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs Jun 07 $2 −$2 -98%
Roland Garros WTA (Doubles): Siniakova/Townsend vs Danilina/Krunic Jun 07 $2 −$2 -98%
Libema Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Lin Zhu Jun 07 $2 −$2 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% −$255
other 1% −$7
world 0% −$2
tech 0% −$1
crypto 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 43¢ $1 18m
Atlanta Dream vs. Toronto Tempo BUY Toronto Tempo 30¢ $1 1h
Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty BUY Washington Mystics 16¢ $1 1h
Will Mirra Andreeva be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? BUY Yes $1 1h
Will João Fonseca be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? BUY Yes $1 1h
Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA Worl BUY Yes 35¢ $1 1h
Nottingham 2: Yunchaokete Bu vs Otto Virtanen BUY Yunchaokete Bu 48¢ $1 1h
HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallo BUY Gabriel Diallo 18¢ $1 1h
Halle Open: Zizou Bergs vs Taylor Fritz BUY Zizou Bergs 25¢ $1 1h
Halle Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Flavio Cobolli 46¢ $1 1h
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alex de Minaur BUY Kamil Majchrzak 24¢ $1 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritz BUY Ben Shelton 46¢ $1 1h
Nottingham Open: Sara Bejlek vs Emma Navarro BUY Sara Bejlek 28¢ $1 1h
Grass Court Championships: Elise Mertens vs Liudmila Samsonova BUY Liudmila Samsonova 33¢ $1 1h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Sinja BUY Sinja Kraus 43¢ $1 1h
Set Handicap: Raducanu (-1.5) vs Vekic (+1.5) BUY Raducanu 37¢ $1 1h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondar BUY Anna Bondar 42¢ $1 1h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Diane Parry vs Ella Seidel BUY Ella Seidel 39¢ $1 1h
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Barbora Krejcikova BUY Robin Montgomery 29¢ $1 2h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes $1 2h
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 23¢ $1 2h
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $1 2h
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 30¢ $1 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 30¢ $1 2h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL Yes 100¢ $42 2h
Spread: Knicks (-10.5) BUY Knicks 16¢ $1 17h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs SELL Team Liquid 47¢ $1 17h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Top Esports 33¢ $1 17h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 33¢ $1 17h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Katerina Siniakova vs Yue Yu BUY Yue Yuan 14¢ $1 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-14.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 49 -4.5% -13.6% 35% 35% +16.6%
≤30d 176 +26.6% +14.5% 38% 38% -29.9%
≤90d 457 -0.9% -10.3% 30% 30% -18.3%
all 765 -5.7% -14.7% 31% 31% -17.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.7% 31% -17.6%
10% -22.9% 30% -25.5%
15% -30.3% 30% -32.7%
20% -37.2% 30% -39.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $33.13 · official $33.13 (match) · 1138 history records