Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:33:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A6
0xa6d9…fd2f
crypto · 140 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$136,258 +13%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$136,189 · open +$42
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$26,841
Realized+$136,189
Unrealized+$42
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses126 / 4
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions10
Markets (closed)130 / 140
Avg bet$7,457
Trades / day64.1
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 10 History 130 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$262
7 days+$5,608
14 days+$70,191
30 days+$70,452
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? Yes 100¢ 100¢ $9,990 $9,985 −$5 (-0%)
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker? Yes 100¢ 100¢ $7,337 $7,343 +$6 (+0%)
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? Yes 100¢ 100¢ $7,019 $7,023 +$4 (+0%)
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the June Meeting? No 99¢ 99¢ $2,009 $2,016 +$7 (+0%)
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC? No 100¢ 100¢ $200 $200 +$0 (+0%)
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200? Yes 40¢ 82¢ $48 $99 +$52 (+108%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T? Yes 99¢ 99¢ $95 $95 +$0 (+0%)
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026? Yes 100¢ 100¢ $58 $59 +$0 (+0%)
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150? Yes 29¢ 12¢ $35 $14 −$21 (-61%)
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250? Yes 7¢ 6¢ $7 $6 −$0 (-7%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $999 +$1 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $63,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $91,892 +$248 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $62,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $12,298 +$12 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $386 +$4 +1%
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 2-8? Jun 08 $24,664 +$1,941 +8%
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8? Jun 08 $109,511 +$3,379 +3%
Will Ethereum reach $1,700 on June 7? Jun 08 $833 +$8 +1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 1-7? Jun 06 $999 +$1 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 5? Jun 06 $991 +$9 +1%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,550 on June 5? Jun 06 $999 +$1 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 on June 5? Jun 06 $2,397 +$3 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 3? Jun 04 $999 +$1 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on June 3? Jun 04 $999 +$1 +0%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Jun 04 $170,385 +$9,681 +6%
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? Jun 03 $129 +$1,637 +1268%
Will Ethereum reach $1,850 on June 3? Jun 03 $1,998 +$2 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 June 1-7? Jun 03 $528 +$1 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,850 on June 2? Jun 03 $999 +$1 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 on June 2? Jun 03 $999 +$1 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,950 on June 2? Jun 02 $1,918 +$2 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $71,000 on June 2? Jun 02 $999 +$1 +0%
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 26-June 1? Jun 02 $370 +$385 +104%
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1? Jun 02 $3,108 +$4,067 +131%
Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on June 1? Jun 01 $1,998 +$2 +0%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? Jun 01 $102,590 +$39,839 +39%
Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on June 1? Jun 01 $495 $0 -0%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? May 31 $31,867 +$3,115 +10%
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 31? May 31 $1,998 $0 -0%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? May 31 $7,206 +$3,794 +53%
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 May 31 $5,279 +$2,050 +39%
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 on May 30? May 30 $2,226 +$4 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 on May 29? May 29 $135 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 27? May 27 $353 +$4 +1%
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 on May 27? May 27 $2,568 +$3 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 26? May 26 $82 $0 +0%
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 19-25? May 26 $23,050 +$186 +1%
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25? May 26 $2,541 +$15 +1%
Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on May 24? May 24 $2,397 +$3 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 on May 23? May 24 $5,993 +$7 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 23? May 23 $59 +$1 +1%
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 on May 22? May 22 $1,998 +$2 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $2,150 on May 21? May 22 $999 +$1 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 22? May 22 $1,270 +$1 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 21? May 22 $1,616 +$2 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on May 19? May 22 $1,998 +$2 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1PM ET May 18 $10 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 May 11-17? May 18 $999 +$1 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $2,150 on May 17? May 18 $999 +$1 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 on May 17? May 18 $999 +$1 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 17? May 18 $1,998 +$2 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 80% +$74,389
world 14% +$59,536
tech 2% +$5
other 1% +$2,245
economics 1% +$14
politics 1% +$12
sports 0% +$1
finance 0% +$30
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T? BUY Yes 99¢ $10 5m
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker? BUY Yes 100¢ $1 20m
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T? BUY Yes 99¢ $85 23m
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 100¢ $9,990 34m
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 100¢ $3,738 35m
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker? BUY Yes 100¢ $0 1h
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker? BUY Yes 100¢ $0 2h
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 100¢ $2 2h
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026? BUY Yes 100¢ $58 3h
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 100¢ $282 3h
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 100¢ $8 3h
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker? BUY Yes 100¢ $28 3h
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 100¢ $132 4h
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker? BUY Yes 100¢ $10 4h
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker? BUY Yes 100¢ $15 4h
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker? BUY Yes 100¢ $1 5h
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker? BUY Yes 100¢ $0 5h
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 100¢ $1,389 5h
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 100¢ $1,469 5h
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC? BUY No 100¢ $200 5h
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker? BUY Yes 100¢ $0 5h
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker? BUY Yes 100¢ $7,024 5h
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? BUY No 100¢ $999 13h
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker? BUY Yes 100¢ $100 14h
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY Yes 7¢ $1 15h
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY Yes 7¢ $4 15h
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY Yes 7¢ $1 15h
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY Yes 7¢ $1 15h
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY Yes 7¢ $0 15h
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY Yes 8¢ $1 15h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +14%
net ROI/market (all)+24.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 11 +1.3% -8.3% 100% 0% -7.5%
≤30d 59 +28.3% +16.1% 97% 10% +0.4%
≤90d 130 +37.2% +24.2% 97% 14% +2.1%
all 130 +37.2% +24.2% 97% 14% +2.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover64.1 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +24.2% 14% +2.1%
10% +12.3% 14% -7.7%
15% ← realistic here +1.4% 12% -16.6%
20% -8.5% 10% -24.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $26,840.62 · official $26,840.62 (match) · 3500 history records