Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T17:25:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A6
0xa6df…588c
sports · 1296 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$3,173 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,423 · open +$250
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,658
Realized−$3,423
Unrealized+$250
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses657 / 607
Est. fees paid−$1,072
Open positions32
Markets (closed)1264 / 1296
History coverage83d
Avg bet$82
Trades / day21.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 32 History 1264 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$259
7 days−$284
14 days+$412
30 days+$36
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama? Yes 46¢ 78¢ $122 $205 +$84 (+69%)
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election? No 33¢ 43¢ $155 $202 +$47 (+30%)
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? Yes 61¢ 74¢ $145 $177 +$32 (+22%)
UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card) Bo Nickal 75¢ 74¢ $131 $129 −$3 (-2%)
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? Yes 67¢ 66¢ $122 $121 −$1 (-1%)
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires? Yes 76¢ 93¢ $90 $110 +$20 (+22%)
Will Derek Dooley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia? No 62¢ 93¢ $70 $105 +$35 (+50%)
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No 86¢ 94¢ $96 $105 +$8 (+9%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? No 83¢ 84¢ $102 $103 +$1 (+1%)
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 71¢ 96¢ $75 $101 +$27 (+36%)
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? No 83¢ 100¢ $82 $99 +$17 (+20%)
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) Alex Pereira 50¢ 50¢ $94 $93 −$1 (-1%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 53¢ 54¢ $90 $91 +$1 (+1%)
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Chicago Cubs 46¢ 46¢ $85 $86 +$1 (+1%)
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5 Under 57¢ 56¢ $85 $84 −$1 (-1%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 47¢ 46¢ $87 $84 −$3 (-3%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Los Angeles Dodgers 60¢ 62¢ $80 $82 +$2 (+2%)
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? No 90¢ 90¢ $81 $81 −$0 (-1%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 65¢ 64¢ $75 $75 −$1 (-1%)
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? No 82¢ 81¢ $74 $74 −$0 (-1%)
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Miami Marlins 43¢ 42¢ $68 $67 −$1 (-1%)
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Jiri Lehecka 53¢ 72¢ $49 $66 +$17 (+35%)
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs FUT Esports 55¢ 55¢ $56 $56 −$1 (-1%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds St. Louis Cardinals 48¢ 40¢ $60 $50 −$10 (-17%)
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes 13¢ 39¢ $16 $48 +$32 (+201%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger Jun 12 $72 +$20 +28%
Will Iran close its airspace by June 11? Jun 12 $35 +$13 +39%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $26 +$26 +101%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $70 +$29 +42%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Federico Bondioli Jun 12 $80 +$41 +51%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $52 +$70 +134%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $126 +$27 +21%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $98 +$56 +57%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 12 $79 +$77 +97%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 12 $102 +$58 +57%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $61 +$41 +67%
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini Jun 12 $40 +$71 +178%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5 Jun 12 $67 +$51 +76%
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur Jun 12 $83 +$38 +45%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $92 +$68 +73%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $116 +$48 +42%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $68 +$118 +172%
Game Handicap: HRTS (-1.5) vs Forsaken (+1.5) Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Lyon: Pedro Martinez vs Felix Balshaw Jun 12 $44 −$44 -100%
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan Jun 12 $77 −$77 -100%
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus Jun 12 $69 −$69 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $86 −$86 -100%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $131 −$131 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $25 +$16 +65%
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Charles Broom Jun 11 $47 +$69 +146%
Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate Jun 11 $99 +$34 +34%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 11 $64 +$85 +134%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 11 $68 −$68 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $70 −$70 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5 Jun 11 $91 −$91 -100%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 11 $111 +$72 +65%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 11 $95 +$89 +93%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 11 $95 −$95 -100%
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary elec Jun 11 $64 −$64 -100%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 11 $27 +$26 +93%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $24 +$34 +146%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $33 +$28 +86%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 11 $38 −$38 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 11 $31 +$57 +180%
Game Handicap: FSK (-1.5) vs PCIFIC (+1.5) Jun 11 $52 −$52 -100%
Libema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 10 $18 −$18 -100%
Libema Open: Lois Boisson vs Solana Sierra Jun 10 $26 −$26 -100%
Tucuman: Julian Cundom vs Andrea Collarini Jun 10 $74 +$8 +11%
HSBC Championships: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Pliskova Jun 10 $66 −$66 -100%
Libema Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Marton Fucsovics Jun 10 $70 −$70 -100%
Will annual inflation be 4.3% in May? Jun 10 $44 −$44 -100%
Libema Open: Martin Damm vs Alex de Minaur Jun 10 $14 −$14 -100%
Libema Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Suzan Lamens Jun 10 $260 +$54 +21%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees Jun 10 $79 +$8 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 87% −$3,615
other 7% +$57
politics 3% −$237
world 2% +$337
culture 0% +$105
finance 0% +$109
tech 0% +$75
economics 0% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? BUY No 90¢ $81 1h
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Jiri Lehecka 53¢ $50 1h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY FUT Esports 55¢ $57 1h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Miami Marlins 43¢ $69 1h
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner BUY Forsaken 33¢ $23 1h
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner BUY Forsaken 35¢ $21 1h
Game Handicap: KCB (-1.5) vs Forsaken (+1.5) BUY Karmine Corp Blue 49¢ $35 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 39¢ $35 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 82¢ $74 1h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 14¢ $14 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 65¢ $76 1h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 60¢ $81 1h
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 57¢ $86 1h
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY Chicago Cubs 46¢ $86 1h
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 67¢ $123 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $88 1h
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger BUY Ashlyn Krueger 78¢ $50 8h
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger BUY Ashlyn Krueger 78¢ $10 11h
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger BUY Ashlyn Krueger 78¢ $5 23h
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger BUY Ashlyn Krueger 78¢ $6 24h
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger BUY Ashlyn Krueger 78¢ $2 24h
Game Handicap: HRTS (-1.5) vs Forsaken (+1.5) BUY Forsaken 60¢ $24 25h
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini BUY Federico Coria 36¢ $40 27h
Lyon: Pedro Martinez vs Felix Balshaw BUY Pedro Martinez 64¢ $40 27h
Lyon: Pedro Martinez vs Felix Balshaw BUY Pedro Martinez 64¢ $4 28h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 83¢ $103 28h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $91 28h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 60¢ $25 28h
Will Iran close its airspace by June 11? BUY No 72¢ $35 28h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5 BUY Under 56¢ $67 28h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-12.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 146 -4.9% -14.0% 53% 52% -12.3%
≤30d 522 -1.0% -10.4% 52% 52% -9.4%
≤90d 1264 -3.3% -12.5% 52% 52% -12.5%
all 1264 -3.3% -12.5% 52% 52% -12.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover21.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.5% 52% -12.5%
10% ← realistic here -20.9% 48% -20.9%
15% -28.5% 43% -28.5%
20% -35.5% 37% -35.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,657.86 · official $2,657.89 (match) · 3500 history records