Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:24:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A6
0xa6ee…e44c
crypto · 26 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$3 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$0 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized+$0
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses12 / 13
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)25 / 26
History coverage1d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day31.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 25 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$0
14 days+$0
30 days+$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Yes 7¢ 1¢ $4 $1 −$3 (-83%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$2 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$4 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 95% $0
sports 5% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY Yes 7¢ $4 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 59m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET SELL Down 23¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET SELL Down 82¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET SELL Up 25¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET SELL Down 37¢ $5 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-13.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 25 -3.8% -13.0% 48% 48% -9.5%
≤30d 25 -3.8% -13.0% 48% 48% -9.5%
≤90d 25 -3.8% -13.0% 48% 48% -9.5%
all 25 -3.8% -13.0% 48% 48% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover31.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.0% 48% -9.5%
10% ← realistic here -21.3% 44% -18.1%
15% -28.9% 36% -26.0%
20% -35.9% 36% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.69 · official $0.69 (match) · 52 history records