Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:39:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A6
0xa6f5…1f57
crypto · 448 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$668 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$652 · open −$16
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$87
Realized−$652
Unrealized−$16
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses208 / 237
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions3
Markets (closed)445 / 448
History coverage112d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day9.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 3 History 445 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$31
7 days−$134
14 days+$48
30 days−$53
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Up 51¢ 40¢ $55 $44 −$11 (-20%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 46¢ 100¢ $20 $43 +$23 (+115%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 31, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$6 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$12 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $33 −$22 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$5 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$3 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$10 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $28 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$4 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$13 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$6 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $43 +$20 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $23 −$18 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$10 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$10 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$5 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +77%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $13 −$13 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$4 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$10 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$10 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$11 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$6 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$8 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$15 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $13 −$13 -99%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $10 +$16 +158%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 76% −$95
other 14% −$335
sports 6% +$59
politics 5% −$298
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $10 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $10 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $10 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $10 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $10 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $10 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $10 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $10 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET SELL Down 48¢ $10 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET SELL Down 93¢ $7 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET SELL Down 48¢ $10 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-18.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 224 -11.8% -20.2% 47% 46% -12.9%
≤30d 424 -9.1% -17.7% 48% 46% -9.9%
≤90d 445 -10.0% -18.6% 47% 45% -20.0%
all 445 -10.0% -18.6% 47% 45% -20.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.6% 45% -20.0%
10% -26.4% 43% -27.7%
15% -33.5% 40% -34.6%
20% -40.0% 36% -41.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $86.82 · official $105.48 · 1227 history records