Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:52:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A6
0xa6f6…d815
sports · 1304 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$25 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized+$3
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses862 / 439
Est. fees paid−$22
Open positions3
Markets (closed)1301 / 1304
History coverage160d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day12.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 3 History 1301 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$7
7 days+$20
14 days+$10
30 days+$59
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Diane Parry vs Ella Seidel Diane Parry 62¢ 91¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+47%)
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays New York Yankees 55¢ 57¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+5%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Suzan Lamens vs Dalma Galfi Dalma Galfi 63¢ 30¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-53%)
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? Yes 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Magic vs. Pistons Magic 23¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Hamburg European Open: Ugo Humbert vs Karen Khachanov Karen Khachanov 73¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Cordoba: Miguel Tobon vs Andrea Collarini Andrea Collarini 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles Tampa Bay Rays 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Marin Cilic vs Martin Landaluce Marin Cilic 62¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
World Championships: Denmark vs. Slovenia Slovenia 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
World Championships: Norway vs. Latvia Latvia 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Luciano Darderi vs Alexander Zverev Alexander Zverev 80¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
World Championships: Norway vs. Sweden Sweden 89¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Paris: Madison Keys vs Diane Parry Madison Keys 75¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Francavilla: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Clement Chidekh Alvaro Guillen Meza 65¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Paris: Beatriz Haddad Maia vs Diane Parry Beatriz Haddad Maia 56¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Marco Trungelliti vs Zachary Svajda Marco Trungelliti 71¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Tyler: Blaise Bicknell vs Johannus Monday Johannus Monday 72¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Oeiras 4: David Jorda Sanchis vs Eero Vasa David Jorda Sanchis 64¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Geneva Open: Casper Ruud vs Mariano Navone Casper Ruud 81¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bordeaux: Arthur Rinderknech vs Martin Damm Arthur Rinderknech 67¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $100 +$6 +6%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondar Jun 14 $2 +$1 +65%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $3 +$3 +89%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $10 +$1 +14%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 13 $3 −$3 -99%
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Darja Vidmanova Jun 13 $2 +$1 +33%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 13 $2 +$1 +25%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Jun 12 $2 +$1 +58%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $5 +$2 +43%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $50 +$5 +11%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Marton Fucsovics Jun 11 $2 +$1 +39%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Hanne Vandewinkel Jun 11 $2 $0 +24%
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs James McCabe Jun 11 $2 +$1 +35%
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Benjamin Bonzi Jun 11 $2 −$2 -99%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 11 $2 −$2 -99%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 10 $4 −$4 -99%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 10 $4 −$4 -99%
Ilkley: Yunchaokete Bu vs Chris Rodesch Jun 10 $2 +$1 +52%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 10 $3 +$3 +86%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 10 $3 +$3 +86%
Stuttgart Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 09 $2 +$1 +31%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Polina Kudermetova Jun 09 $2 +$1 +46%
HSBC Championships: Laura Siegemund vs Francesca Jones Jun 09 $4 +$1 +19%
Bratislava: Abedallah Shelbayh vs Petr Brunclik Jun 09 $2 +$1 +57%
Bratislava: Tiago Pereira vs Andrej Martin Jun 09 $2 +$1 +65%
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandez Jun 09 $2 −$2 -99%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 09 $2 +$1 +70%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 09 $2 +$2 +83%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $2 −$2 -98%
Libema Open: Marin Cilic vs Denis Shapovalov Jun 08 $2 +$1 +63%
Libema Open: Bianca Andreescu vs Elise Mertens Jun 08 $2 +$1 +34%
HSBC Championships: Qinwen Zheng vs Jaqueline Cristian Jun 08 $2 −$2 -99%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 07 $2 +$1 +57%
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Jun 07 $2 +$1 +67%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 07 $2 +$1 +65%
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Jun 07 $2 $0 -12%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Antonia Ruzic vs Aoi Ito Jun 07 $2 $0 +19%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Jun 07 $2 +$1 +29%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 06 $2 +$1 +67%
Prostejov: Hynek Barton vs Alex Molcan Jun 06 $2 +$1 +50%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 06 $2 +$1 +70%
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 05 $2 −$2 -98%
Prostejov: Alex Molcan vs Vitaliy Sachko Jun 05 $2 +$1 +30%
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees Jun 04 $2 +$1 +60%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 04 $5 −$5 -99%
Perugia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Roberto Carballes Baena Jun 04 $2 +$1 +57%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 04 $2 −$2 -99%
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 04 $2 −$2 -99%
Prostejov: Alex Molcan vs Milos Karol Jun 04 $2 $0 +14%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 79% −$35
other 21% +$35
world 0% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 100¢ $106 1h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY New York Yankees 55¢ $2 3h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondar SELL Anna Blinkova 99¢ $3 7h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 94¢ $100 8h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondar BUY Anna Blinkova 59¢ $2 11h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Suzan Lamens vs Dalma Galfi BUY Dalma Galfi 63¢ $2 11h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Diane Parry vs Ella Seidel BUY Diane Parry 62¢ $2 11h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays SELL New York Yankees 100¢ $6 21h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 94¢ $11 23h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Milwaukee Brewers 61¢ $3 26h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY New York Yankees 52¢ $3 26h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $10 27h
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Darja Vidmanova SELL Ashlyn Krueger 99¢ $3 29h
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Darja Vidmanova BUY Ashlyn Krueger 74¢ $2 36h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Emma Raducanu 79¢ $2 36h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY New York Yankees 50¢ $2 45h
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik SELL Alexander Bublik 99¢ $3 2d
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik BUY Alexander Bublik 62¢ $2 2d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $7 2d
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? SELL No 100¢ $55 2d
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Marton Fucsovics SELL Felix Auger-Aliassime 100¢ $3 3d
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Hanne Vandewinkel SELL Barbora Krejcikova 100¢ $2 3d
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs James McCabe SELL Kamil Majchrzak 100¢ $3 3d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $5 3d
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 90¢ $50 3d
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Marton Fucsovics BUY Felix Auger-Aliassime 71¢ $2 3d
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs James McCabe BUY Kamil Majchrzak 73¢ $2 3d
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Benjamin Bonzi BUY Ugo Humbert 68¢ $2 3d
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska BUY Dayana Yastremska 58¢ $2 3d
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Hanne Vandewinkel BUY Barbora Krejcikova 80¢ $2 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +64%
net ROI/market (all)-10.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 36 +11.7% +1.1% 75% 72% -2.0%
≤30d 253 -2.3% -11.6% 67% 62% -6.5%
≤90d 1047 -11.8% -20.2% 59% 56% -14.2%
all 1301 -1.4% -10.8% 66% 64% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.8% 64% -9.5%
10% -19.3% 52% -18.1%
15% -27.1% 36% -26.0%
20% -34.2% 23% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.96 · official $5.96 (match) · 2610 history records