trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +13.2% | +2.4% | 100% | 100% | +2.4% |
| ≤30d | 7 | +11.9% | +1.2% | 57% | 57% | -60.6% |
| ≤90d | 20 | +3.2% | -6.6% | 75% | 30% | +15.2% |
| all | 20 | +3.2% | -6.6% | 75% | 30% | +15.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -6.6% | 30% | +15.2% |
| 10% | -15.6% | 25% | +4.1% |
| 15% | -23.7% | 20% | -5.9% |
| 20% | -31.2% | 20% | -15.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox | Chicago White Sox | 49¢ | 48¢ | $294 | $291 | −$3 (-1%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 20¢ | $51 | $60 | +$9 (+17%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $91 | +$12 | +13% |
| Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics | Jun 13 | $108 | −$106 | -98% |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | Jun 09 | $588 | −$588 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 06 | $32 | +$68 | +212% |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? | Jun 03 | $11 | −$11 | -96% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | Jun 03 | $58 | +$50 | +85% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | May 24 | $59 | +$42 | +72% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 16 | $9,099 | +$4,886 | +54% |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | May 13 | $7,084 | +$2,107 | +30% |
| Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? | May 08 | $511 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? | May 04 | $501 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? | Apr 30 | $499 | −$18 | -4% |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Phillies | Apr 29 | $519 | +$1 | +0% |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Apr 20 | $406 | −$406 | -100% |
| Rangers vs. Lightning | Apr 19 | $512 | +$1 | +0% |
| Grizzlies vs. Jazz | Apr 16 | $512 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | Apr 09 | $512 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | Apr 07 | $511 | $0 | +0% |
| Spurs vs. Warriors | Apr 04 | $510 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 21? | Apr 02 | $11 | $0 | +0% |