Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:40:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A7
0xa70e…9a26
sports · 8 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$6 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$0
Realized−$6
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses4 / 4
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)8 / 8
History coverage1d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day16.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit75%
Chart Positions 0 History 8 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$6
14 days−$6
30 days−$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St Jun 12 $3 $0 -4%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl Jun 12 $2 $0 +8%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $2 $0 +12%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $2 $0 +20%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $10 +$1 +6%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $9 −$7 -73%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $8 $0 -4%
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gr Jun 11 $9 −$1 -10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 58% $0
other 42% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St SELL Ursa 82¢ $3 34m
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY Ursa 84¢ $3 40m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl SELL Team Vitality 99¢ $3 57m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY Team Vitality 91¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL BetBoom Team 99¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 88¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Natus Vincere 100¢ $2 2h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 83¢ $2 3h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL No 67¢ $2 3h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 88¢ $2 4h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL No 16¢ $2 4h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 55¢ $9 4h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL No 99¢ $9 4h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 84¢ $8 13h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FURIA 61¢ $8 13h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 62¢ $8 13h
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gr SELL Oxuji Esports 52¢ $8 27h
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gr BUY Oxuji Esports 56¢ $9 27h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-14.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 -5.5% -14.5% 50% 25% -22.2%
≤30d 8 -5.5% -14.5% 50% 25% -22.2%
≤90d 8 -5.5% -14.5% 50% 25% -22.2%
all 8 -5.5% -14.5% 50% 25% -22.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover16.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.5% 25% -22.2%
10% -22.7% 0% -29.6%
15% -30.2% 0% -36.4%
20% -37.0% 0% -42.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 18 history records