trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | -8.7% | -17.4% | 43% | 43% | -28.9% |
| ≤30d | 8 | -20.1% | -27.7% | 38% | 38% | -32.4% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -41.9% | -47.4% | 27% | 27% | -43.6% |
| all | 12 | -46.7% | -51.8% | 25% | 25% | -45.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -51.8% | 25% | -45.6% |
| 10% | -56.4% | 25% | -50.8% |
| 15% | -60.6% | 25% | -55.6% |
| 20% | -64.5% | 25% | -59.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10¢ | 13¢ | $100 | $129 | +$29 (+29%) |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $110 | $100 | −$10 (-9%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 8¢ | 7¢ | $103 | $93 | −$11 (-10%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $152 | +$160 | +105% |
| Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5 | Jun 18 | $153 | −$150 | -98% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $152 | −$150 | -99% |
| Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | Jun 18 | $101 | −$101 | -100% |
| Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 | Jun 18 | $203 | −$203 | -100% |
| Luis Díaz: 1+ goals | Jun 18 | $102 | +$155 | +152% |
| France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 | Jun 16 | $101 | +$84 | +82% |
| Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahce | May 22 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Fenerbahce vs. Zalgiris Kaunas | Apr 30 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5 | Apr 28 | $51 | −$50 | -99% |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28? | Apr 28 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will Axiom be accused of insider trading? | Feb 26 | $45 | −$45 | -100% |