Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:54:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A7
0xa713…f93d
sports · 15 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$10 +15%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2 · open +$8
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$19
Realized+$2
Unrealized+$8
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses6 / 6
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions3
Markets (closed)12 / 15
History coverage3d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day78.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 3 History 12 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$11
7 days+$2
14 days+$2
30 days+$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs Eintracht Spandau 34¢ 100¢ $4 $13 +$9 (+195%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Bilibili Gaming 66¢ 100¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+51%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 64¢ 64¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Gen.G 66¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+51%)
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs Vivo Keyd Stars 62¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Bilibili Gaming 69¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $10 +$4 +44%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $1 +$1 +107%
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) Jun 13 $7 +$6 +83%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $2 −$1 -49%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $1 $0 +35%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $1 $0 +28%
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $9 −$5 -57%
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $8 −$1 -9%
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATA Jun 10 $3 −$3 -78%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Jun 10 $3 −$3 -97%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $10 $0 -1%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $3 +$3 +97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 98% +$10
other 2% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & SELL Vivo Keyd Stars 17¢ $0 1h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P BUY Eintracht Spandau 37¢ $1 1h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P BUY Eintracht Spandau 32¢ $1 1h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P BUY Eintracht Spandau 33¢ $1 1h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P BUY Eintracht Spandau 34¢ $1 1h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & SELL Vivo Keyd Stars 77¢ $0 1h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & SELL Vivo Keyd Stars 78¢ $0 1h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & SELL Vivo Keyd Stars 77¢ $0 1h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & SELL Vivo Keyd Stars 81¢ $0 1h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & SELL Vivo Keyd Stars 74¢ $0 1h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & BUY Vivo Keyd Stars 62¢ $1 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $1 3h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 99¢ $3 6h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 98¢ $1 7h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 97¢ $0 7h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 97¢ $0 7h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 97¢ $0 7h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 97¢ $0 7h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 97¢ $0 7h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 96¢ $0 7h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 96¢ $0 7h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 96¢ $0 7h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 96¢ $0 7h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 96¢ $0 7h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 96¢ $0 7h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 96¢ $0 7h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 96¢ $0 7h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 96¢ $0 7h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 96¢ $0 7h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 96¢ $0 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)+19.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 +32.0% +19.5% 50% 50% -4.1%
≤30d 12 +32.0% +19.5% 50% 50% -4.1%
≤90d 12 +32.0% +19.5% 50% 50% -4.1%
all 12 +32.0% +19.5% 50% 50% -4.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover78.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +19.5% 50% -4.1%
10% ← realistic here +8.0% 50% -13.3%
15% -2.4% 42% -21.7%
20% -12.0% 42% -29.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $18.59 · official $18.35 (match) · 239 history records