Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:10:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A7
0xa718…ca5a
crypto · 95 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$36 -24%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$36 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized−$36
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)73%
Wins / losses67 / 25
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions3
Markets (closed)92 / 95
History coverage18d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day6.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 3 History 92 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$0
14 days+$1
30 days−$36
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 28¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Yes 30¢ 30¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes 27¢ 16¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-41%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET May 29 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET May 29 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET May 29 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET May 29 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET May 29 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET May 29 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET May 29 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET May 29 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET May 29 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET May 29 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET May 29 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET May 29 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET May 29 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET May 29 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET May 29 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET May 29 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET May 29 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET May 29 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET May 29 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET May 29 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET May 29 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET May 29 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET May 28 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET May 28 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET May 28 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET May 28 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET May 28 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET May 28 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET May 28 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET May 28 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET May 28 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET May 28 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET May 28 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET May 28 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET May 28 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET May 28 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET May 28 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET May 28 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET May 28 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET May 28 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET May 28 $1 $0 +38%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% −$36
sports 2% $0
other 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 5h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $2 5h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 14d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 14d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 14d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 14d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 14d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 14d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 14d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 14d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 14d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 14d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 14d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 14d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 14d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 14d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +73%
net ROI/market (all)-9.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 +4.4% -5.6% 78% 78% -5.2%
≤30d 92 +0.6% -9.0% 73% 73% -32.0%
≤90d 92 +0.6% -9.0% 73% 73% -32.0%
all 92 +0.6% -9.0% 73% 73% -32.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.0% 73% -32.0%
10% -17.7% 66% -38.5%
15% -25.6% 37% -44.5%
20% -32.9% 5% -49.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.54 · official $3.54 (match) · 181 history records