Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:02:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A7
0xa758…a57e
sports · 282 markets active 0h ago
4.5score
+$74 +7%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$62 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$12
Realized+$62
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses152 / 127
Est. fees paid−$11
Open positions3
Markets (closed)279 / 282
History coverage107d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day3.6
Drawdown58%
Kalshi-fit80%
Chart Positions 3 History 279 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$14
7 days+$15
14 days+$19
30 days+$49
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondar Anna Blinkova 62¢ 64¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+3%)
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Harry Wendelken Aleksandar Vukic 60¢ 60¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Martin Damm Zachary Svajda 56¢ 56¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5 Jun 14 $2 +$3 +165%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5 Jun 14 $3 +$2 +86%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5 Jun 14 $4 +$4 +83%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5 Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 13 $4 +$1 +23%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $5 $0 -0%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 13 $2 +$2 +83%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $2 +$3 +109%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $4 +$1 +24%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $2 +$3 +109%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $7 +$8 +108%
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $5 +$5 +93%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5 Jun 11 $3 +$2 +93%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $6 +$4 +57%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5 Jun 11 $11 +$19 +176%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5 Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5 Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Jenson Brooksby Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5 Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 Jun 09 $2 +$2 +83%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5 Jun 09 $2 +$3 +114%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 09 $2 +$3 +105%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 Jun 09 $3 +$2 +97%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5 Jun 09 $4 −$4 -100%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 09 $6 −$6 -100%
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5 Jun 08 $2 −$2 -100%
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Jun 08 $2 −$2 -100%
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5 Jun 08 $2 −$2 -100%
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals Jun 08 $3 +$2 +73%
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5 Jun 08 $2 −$2 -100%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5 Jun 08 $3 +$2 +48%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5 Jun 08 $2 +$3 +109%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 10.5 Jun 08 $7 +$3 +52%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 07 $2 −$2 -100%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5 Jun 07 $3 +$2 +70%
Athletics vs. Houston Astros: O/U 10.5 Jun 07 $4 +$6 +140%
Athletics vs. Houston Astros Jun 07 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-23? Jun 02 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-23? Jun 02 $2 +$3 +188%
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-23? Jun 02 $2 +$3 +134%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5 May 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Real Betis Balompié vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5 May 24 $3 +$2 +73%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 79% +$59
other 21% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Harry Wendelken BUY Aleksandar Vukic 60¢ $3 14m
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Martin Damm BUY Zachary Svajda 56¢ $3 28m
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondar BUY Anna Blinkova 62¢ $3 1h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondar BUY Anna Blinkova 61¢ $3 1h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5 BUY Over 37¢ $2 18h
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5 BUY Under 53¢ $3 19h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5 BUY Over 47¢ $2 20h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5 BUY Over 47¢ $2 20h
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5 BUY Under 54¢ $2 21h
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5 BUY Under 54¢ $2 21h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets BUY New York Mets 51¢ $3 21h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 47¢ $3 22h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Emma Raducanu 81¢ $4 23h
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5 BUY Over 47¢ $2 38h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5 BUY Over 47¢ $2 38h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $2 39h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $2 41h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Baltimore Orioles 54¢ $2 41h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 53¢ $3 46h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 34¢ $2 46h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 80¢ $4 47h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 48¢ $2 2d
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $2 2d
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 39¢ $2 2d
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5 BUY Over 65¢ $3 2d
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5 BUY Over 65¢ $3 2d
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic BUY Marin Cilic 51¢ $3 2d
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus BUY Sinja Kraus 44¢ $2 3d
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus BUY Sinja Kraus 44¢ $2 3d
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic BUY Marin Cilic 51¢ $3 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-3.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 45 +0.0% -9.5% 51% 51% -1.3%
≤30d 105 +10.3% -0.2% 55% 55% +2.7%
≤90d 266 +5.2% -4.8% 54% 53% -5.4%
all 279 +6.8% -3.4% 54% 54% -3.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.6 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -3.4% 54% -3.9%
10% -12.6% 53% -13.1%
15% -21.1% 50% -21.5%
20% -28.8% 45% -29.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $12.15 · official $12.15 (match) · 665 history records