Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:32:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A7
0xa76b…6173
crypto · 8 markets active 1h ago
3.5score
+$19 +10%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$19 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Chart Positions 0 History 8 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$19
7 days+$19
14 days+$19
30 days+$19
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 19¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $41 +$16 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $29 +$13 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$9 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$23 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$9 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$8 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $41 +$7 +17%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$19
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +75%
net ROI/market (all)+12.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 +23.8% +12.0% 75% 75% -0.4%
≤30d 8 +23.8% +12.0% 75% 75% -0.4%
≤90d 8 +23.8% +12.0% 75% 75% -0.4%
all 8 +23.8% +12.0% 75% 75% -0.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover21.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +12.0% 75% -0.4%
10% ← realistic here +1.3% 62% -9.9%
15% -8.5% 62% -18.6%
20% -17.5% 38% -26.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 25 history records