trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +3.1% | -6.7% | 100% | 0% | -6.3% |
| ≤30d | 7 | +0.5% | -9.1% | 29% | 0% | -8.9% |
| ≤90d | 7 | +0.5% | -9.1% | 29% | 0% | -8.9% |
| all | 20 | +4.2% | -5.7% | 60% | 5% | -7.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -5.7% | 5% | -7.8% |
| 10% | -14.7% | 5% | -16.6% |
| 15% | -23.0% | 5% | -24.7% |
| 20% | -30.5% | 5% | -32.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 95¢ | 95¢ | $4 | $4 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 19 | $42 | $0 | +1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 19 | $67 | +$3 | +5% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by Ma | May 26 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 26 | $72 | −$2 | -2% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | May 26 | $26 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arab | May 25 | $77 | $0 | -0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | May 24 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June? | Dec 13 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Rumble buy TikTok? | Jun 27 | $9 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Han Duck-soo be elected the next president of South Korea? | Jun 04 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by over 12%? | Jun 03 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Belgium win Eurovision 2025? | May 15 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the SPD be part of the next German government? | Apr 20 | $9 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bayern Munich win the Bundesliga? | Apr 18 | $2 | $0 | +6% |
| Will Alabama win the 2025 NCAA Tournament? | Apr 01 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League? | Mar 24 | $3 | $0 | -5% |
| Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 19 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting? | Mar 12 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer in the EPL? | Mar 11 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Rutgers vs. Washington | Mar 04 | $7 | +$5 | +67% |