trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -44.5% | -49.8% | 50% | 50% | +0.2% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -31.7% | -38.2% | 33% | 33% | -4.4% |
| ≤90d | 3 | -31.7% | -38.2% | 33% | 33% | -4.4% |
| all | 4 | -14.2% | -22.4% | 50% | 50% | +8.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -22.4% | 50% | +8.0% |
| 10% | -29.8% | 25% | -2.3% |
| 15% | -36.6% | 25% | -11.8% |
| 20% | -42.8% | 0% | -20.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 57¢ | 52¢ | $830 | $744 | −$85 (-10%) |
| Will Colombia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 46¢ | 42¢ | $460 | $415 | −$45 (-10%) |
| Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 41¢ | 40¢ | $417 | $412 | −$5 (-1%) |
| Will Son Heung-min score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 29¢ | 64¢ | $116 | $256 | +$140 (+121%) |
| Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 20¢ | 14¢ | $246 | $166 | −$80 (-32%) |
| Will Luka Modrić score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 48¢ | 64¢ | $122 | $161 | +$39 (+32%) |
| Will Qatar finish last in Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? | No | 27¢ | 14¢ | $307 | $151 | −$156 (-51%) |
| Will James Rodríguez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 29¢ | 47¢ | $12 | $19 | +$7 (+60%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 | Jun 20 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $541 | +$59 | +11% |
| Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 11 | $234 | −$14 | -6% |
| Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municip | Mar 15 | $560 | +$215 | +38% |