Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:30:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A7
0xa791…f14e
other · 4 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
−$4 -24%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$4
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses2 / 2
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)4 / 4
History coverage1d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day6.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit50%
Chart Positions 0 History 4 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days−$4
14 days−$4
30 days−$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $5 +$6 +109%
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $1 +$1 +67%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 62% +$1
crypto 32% −$5
sports 6% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $5 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $11 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 2.5 SELL Over 100¢ $2 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 2.5 BUY Over 59¢ $1 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $5 13h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $5 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-15.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 -6.0% -15.0% 50% 50% -30.8%
≤30d 4 -6.0% -15.0% 50% 50% -30.8%
≤90d 4 -6.0% -15.0% 50% 50% -30.8%
all 4 -6.0% -15.0% 50% 50% -30.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.0% 50% -30.8%
10% -23.1% 50% -37.4%
15% -30.6% 50% -43.5%
20% -37.4% 50% -49.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 6 history records