Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:42:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A7
0xa79a…d72a
crypto · 572 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$48 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$19 · open +$97
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4,170
Realized−$19
Unrealized+$97
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses244 / 320
Whale WR (big bets)71%
Est. fees paid−$244
Open positions5
Markets (closed)564 / 572
History coverage10d
Avg bet$66
Trades / day316.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 5 History 564 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$346
7 days+$318
14 days−$19
30 days−$19
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 63¢ 63¢ $3,305 $3,293 −$12 (-0%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Seattle Mariners 58¢ 57¢ $400 $397 −$3 (-1%)
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles 63¢ 88¢ $252 $350 +$98 (+39%)
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians 54¢ 69¢ $100 $129 +$29 (+29%)
Will Iran Play in the World Cup? No 5¢ 1¢ $16 $2 −$14 (-87%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Will Jordan vs. Colombia end in a draw? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Team WE 36¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $154 +$64 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $258 +$19 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $155 −$11 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $261 +$115 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $260 −$260 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $156 +$54 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $131 +$65 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $54 −$30 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$11 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $180 +$38 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $38 −$38 -100%
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $107 +$47 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $64 −$39 -60%
Tucuman: Juan Estevez vs Matias Soto Jun 12 $54 −$54 -100%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 12 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $22 −$6 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $163 −$39 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $38 −$16 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $134 −$66 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $43 −$43 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $60 −$22 -36%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid ID vs Geek Fam ID - Game 1 Winne Jun 12 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $63 −$63 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $45 −$45 -100%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 12 $101 −$101 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $63 −$63 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $63 −$63 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $102 −$102 -100%
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $151 −$151 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $104 −$104 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $99 −$99 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 42% −$1,534
sports 38% +$1,410
other 20% +$206
world 0% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $5 1h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Baltimore Orioles 63¢ $139 1h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Baltimore Orioles 63¢ $3 1h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Baltimore Orioles 63¢ $28 1h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Baltimore Orioles 63¢ $28 1h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Baltimore Orioles 63¢ $17 1h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Baltimore Orioles 63¢ $17 1h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Baltimore Orioles 63¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET SELL Up 75¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET SELL Up 75¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET SELL Up 75¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET SELL Up 75¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET SELL Up 75¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET SELL Up 75¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET SELL Up 75¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET SELL Up 75¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET SELL Up 75¢ $28 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET SELL Up 75¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET SELL Up 75¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET SELL Up 75¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET SELL Up 75¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET SELL Up 75¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET SELL Up 75¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET SELL Up 75¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET SELL Up 75¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET SELL Up 75¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET SELL Up 75¢ $20 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-20.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 446 -10.2% -18.7% 46% 43% -8.4%
≤30d 564 -12.2% -20.6% 43% 40% -9.4%
≤90d 564 -12.2% -20.6% 43% 40% -9.4%
all 564 -12.2% -20.6% 43% 40% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover316.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.6% 40% -9.4%
10% ← realistic here -28.2% 37% -18.1%
15% -35.1% 34% -26.0%
20% -41.5% 27% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4,170.34 · official $4,188.36 (match) · 3500 history records