Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:33:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A7
0xa79d…6b36
sports · 333 markets active 3h ago
0.0score
−$229 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$315 · open +$87
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$244
Realized−$315
Unrealized+$87
Win rate (resolved)32%
Wins / losses101 / 216
Est. fees paid−$25
Open positions16
Markets (closed)317 / 333
Avg bet$12
Trades / day10.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit84%
Chart Positions 16 History 317 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$21
7 days−$66
14 days+$255
30 days+$193
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? No 50¢ 81¢ $49 $79 +$30 (+61%)
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes 3¢ 14¢ $10 $41 +$31 (+304%)
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 33¢ 81¢ $12 $29 +$17 (+144%)
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No 33¢ 28¢ $18 $15 −$3 (-15%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? Yes 51¢ 78¢ $10 $15 +$5 (+53%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? Yes 26¢ 38¢ $10 $14 +$4 (+44%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June? Yes 35¢ 78¢ $5 $11 +$6 (+124%)
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14? Yes 38¢ 34¢ $10 $8 −$1 (-13%)
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14? No 59¢ 40¢ $11 $7 −$4 (-33%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? Yes 64¢ 82¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+29%)
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30? Yes 48¢ 54¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+13%)
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? Yes 45¢ 54¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+19%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? Yes 24¢ 17¢ $5 $3 −$2 (-31%)
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes 46¢ 31¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-33%)
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Marin Cilic 24¢ 20¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-17%)
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes 32¢ 18¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-42%)
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of June 1 above $205? No 15¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner JD Gaming 54¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31? No 10¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 8? No 23¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Lucknow Super Giants Lucknow Super Giants 10¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26? Yes 33¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June? Jun 12 $5 +$3 +56%
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher world Jun 12 $10 +$7 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $19 −$18 -95%
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June? Jun 10 $14 +$9 +64%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 10 $9 −$9 -98%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June? Jun 10 $15 +$4 +29%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $205 on June 9? Jun 10 $5 +$35 +669%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on June 9? Jun 09 $5 −$5 -96%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on June 9? Jun 09 $44 −$28 -66%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $200 in June? Jun 09 $14 +$3 +21%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 9? Jun 09 $5 −$5 -97%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on June 9? Jun 09 $3 −$3 -96%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $195 on June 9? Jun 09 $11 −$11 -96%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $15 −$15 -98%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $12 −$6 -54%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June? Jun 08 $5 −$1 -15%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June? Jun 08 $27 −$2 -6%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June? Jun 08 $5 $0 -7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $13 −$12 -95%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? Jun 08 $20 +$1 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $3 −$3 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 8? Jun 07 $11 −$10 -94%
Will Greece vs. Italy end in a draw? Jun 07 $14 −$14 -98%
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 07 $10 −$10 -98%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $20 −$20 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2PM ET Jun 07 $5 +$7 +129%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of June 1 above $210? Jun 07 $17 +$40 +236%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of June 1 above $220? Jun 07 $33 +$26 +79%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of June 1 above $215? Jun 07 $20 +$47 +236%
Will Romania vs. Wales end in a draw? Jun 06 $10 −$10 -98%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in June? Jun 05 $11 −$11 -96%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,250 Week of June 1 2026? Jun 05 $3 −$3 -96%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of June 1 2026? Jun 05 $4 −$4 -97%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest - Map 2 Winner Jun 05 $5 −$5 -98%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of June 1 above $205? Jun 05 $4 −$4 -100%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of June 1 above $200? Jun 05 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $5 −$5 -98%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest - Map 1 Winner Jun 05 $5 −$5 -97%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 Week of June 1 2026? Jun 05 $15 −$15 -98%
Will Sweden vs. Greece end in a draw? Jun 05 $6 +$15 +238%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7PM ET Jun 05 $21 +$5 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 05 $32 +$53 +167%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6PM ET Jun 04 $6 −$6 -94%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic - Map 2 Winner Jun 04 $12 −$12 -98%
Sweden vs. Greece: Both Teams to Score Jun 04 $3 −$3 -98%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG - Map 2 Winner Jun 04 $15 −$15 -98%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG - Map 1 Winner Jun 04 $3 −$3 -98%
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 04 $11 −$11 -98%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3? Jun 04 $15 +$1 +9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 30% −$198
crypto 25% −$207
world 19% +$60
other 11% −$41
finance 10% +$82
tech 4% +$87
politics 1% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher world SELL Yes 99¢ $17 2h
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? BUY Yes 45¢ $4 16h
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30? BUY Yes 48¢ $5 16h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? BUY Yes 24¢ $5 16h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? BUY Yes 34¢ $5 16h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? BUY Yes 68¢ $5 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 11? BUY Down 4¢ $5 18h
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic BUY Marin Cilic 24¢ $1 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 11? BUY Down 35¢ $8 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 11? BUY Down 28¢ $5 21h
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June? SELL Yes 100¢ $23 35h
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage BUY NRG 35¢ $4 41h
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage BUY NRG 28¢ $5 42h
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winner BUY NRG 32¢ $10 42h
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on June 9? BUY Yes 5¢ $5 2d
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on June 9? BUY No 5¢ $3 2d
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on June 9? BUY No 5¢ $5 2d
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June? BUY Yes 60¢ $14 2d
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 9? BUY No 25¢ $5 2d
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on June 9? BUY No 5¢ $3 2d
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $195 on June 9? BUY No 3¢ $3 2d
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $205 on June 9? BUY Yes 13¢ $5 2d
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $195 on June 9? BUY No 2¢ $5 2d
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $195 on June 9? BUY No 1¢ $3 2d
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on June 9? SELL No 45¢ $14 2d
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on June 9? BUY No 8¢ $5 2d
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on June 9? BUY No 12¢ $4 2d
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on June 9? BUY No 13¢ $16 2d
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on June 9? BUY No 10¢ $10 2d
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $200 in June? BUY Yes 82¢ $14 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-23.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 40 -25.3% -32.4% 28% 25% -22.7%
≤30d 106 +2.4% -7.3% 34% 31% +2.5%
≤90d 297 -20.0% -27.6% 31% 27% -20.0%
all 317 -15.9% -23.9% 32% 28% -16.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -23.9% 28% -16.7%
10% -31.2% 25% -24.7%
15% -37.9% 23% -32.0%
20% -44.0% 21% -38.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $244.50 · official $244.50 (match) · 1318 history records