Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T14:26:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
A7 0xa79d…1acd crypto 56 markets active 6d ago coverage 2d
UNRELIABLEdata unreliable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$16 (-10%) realized −$16 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR62%break-even
Win rate68%38W / 18L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$3per market
Trades / day42.0pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 92% −$16
sports 5% −$4
world 3% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +62%
net ROI/market (all)-10.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 53 -2.3% -11.6% 68% 62% -22.8%
≤30d 56 -1.5% -10.9% 68% 62% -20.7%
≤90d 56 -1.5% -10.9% 68% 62% -20.7%
all 56 -1.5% -10.9% 68% 62% -20.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover42.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.9% 62% -20.7%
10% ← realistic here -19.4% 36% -28.3%
15% -27.2% 25% -35.2%
20% -34.3% 11% -41.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 8% · top 2 15% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -12% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
8% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -12% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +11% → late -14% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$2 · ×0.26 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.56 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$16
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses38 / 18
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)56 / 56
History coverage2d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day42.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 56 Trades
no open positions (5 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +17%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +41%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$1 -12%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +21%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +38%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -68%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +43%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +140%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +68%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +16%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -35%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 11 $25 −$9 -36%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +36%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +29%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Up 93¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 74¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Up 81¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET SELL Up 81¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 123 history records