trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | -24.1% | -31.3% | 44% | 33% | -16.0% |
| ≤30d | 13 | -31.3% | -37.9% | 38% | 31% | -22.6% |
| ≤90d | 16 | -20.2% | -27.8% | 38% | 31% | -13.0% |
| all | 24 | -10.2% | -18.8% | 33% | 29% | +19.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -18.8% | 29% | +19.2% |
| 10% | -26.5% | 29% | +7.8% |
| 15% | -33.6% | 29% | -2.6% |
| 20% | -40.1% | 29% | -12.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 4¢ | $200 | $385 | +$185 (+92%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $102 | +$98 | +97% |
| Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 0.5 | Jun 21 | $304 | +$205 | +67% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 21 | $254 | −$250 | -99% |
| United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 1.5 | Jun 19 | $1,002 | +$51 | +5% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $508 | +$579 | +114% |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | Jun 15 | $507 | −$500 | -99% |
| UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) | Jun 15 | $203 | −$200 | -99% |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | Jun 15 | $101 | −$101 | -100% |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | Jun 15 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $406 | +$445 | +109% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $765 | −$750 | -98% |
| Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw? | May 24 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-24? | May 24 | $51 | −$50 | -97% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 11 | $377 | +$1,067 | +283% |
| Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5) | May 10 | $255 | −$250 | -98% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-04? | Apr 04 | $400 | −$400 | -100% |
| Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished? | Mar 01 | $500 | −$500 | -100% |
| Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? | Jan 02 | $3,000 | −$2,999 | -100% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-23? | Dec 23 | $400 | −$400 | -100% |
| Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5) | Dec 20 | $300 | −$300 | -100% |
| Alabama vs. Oklahoma | Dec 20 | $1,000 | +$1,041 | +104% |
| Will Alabama win the 2026 College Football National Championship? | Dec 18 | $237 | −$237 | -100% |
| Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5) | Dec 13 | $800 | −$800 | -100% |
| Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential elect | Dec 09 | $1,490 | +$8,558 | +574% |