Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:06:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A7
0xa7b3…d2a0
crypto · 324 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$10,002 -37%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$377 · open −$233
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$508
Realized+$377
Unrealized−$233
Win rate (resolved)74%
Wins / losses236 / 82
Est. fees paid−$13
Open positions5
Markets (closed)318 / 324
History coverage10d
Avg bet$83
Trades / day48.3
Drawdown93%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 5 History 318 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$317
7 days+$394
14 days+$377
30 days+$377
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Kai Havertz: 1+ goals Yes 58¢ 100¢ $100 $172 +$72 (+72%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 3.5 Over 59¢ 100¢ $100 $169 +$69 (+69%)
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election? Yes 63¢ 38¢ $130 $79 −$51 (-39%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5 Under 60¢ 44¢ $102 $74 −$28 (-28%)
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 17¢ 1¢ $309 $13 −$296 (-96%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 37¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 58¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres San Diego Padres 25¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Yes 61¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Minnesota Twins 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 57¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) Tampa Bay Rays 31¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Chicago Cubs 25¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 53¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $40 +$8 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 14 $40 +$5 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $41 +$11 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 14 $41 +$15 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 14 $41 +$11 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $41 +$15 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 14 $40 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $41 +$14 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $41 +$13 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 14 $41 +$29 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $40 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 14 $40 +$8 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 14 $41 +$12 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $40 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $41 +$19 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 14 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 14 $41 +$13 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $41 +$10 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $80 +$6 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $41 +$22 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 14 $41 +$11 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $41 +$15 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $42 +$18 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $40 +$17 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $41 +$18 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 14 $40 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $41 +$11 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $41 +$21 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 14 $40 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $41 +$20 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $41 +$16 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $40 +$6 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $41 +$37 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $40 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $40 +$7 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $41 +$29 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $40 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $40 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $41 +$13 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $40 +$7 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $41 +$16 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $41 +$31 +76%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 49% −$347
crypto 44% +$734
sports 4% −$215
other 3% −$28
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $40 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $40 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $40 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $41 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $41 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $41 47m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5 BUY Under 60¢ $103 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $41 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $40 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $41 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $41 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $41 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $41 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $40 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $42 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $41 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $40 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $41 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $40 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $41 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $41 2h
Kai Havertz: 1+ goals BUY Yes 58¢ $101 2h
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 3.5 BUY Over 59¢ $101 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $41 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $40 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $40 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $41 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $41 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $41 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $41 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +61%
net ROI/market (all)-7.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 282 +3.7% -6.2% 75% 63% -6.8%
≤30d 318 +2.7% -7.1% 74% 61% -7.0%
≤90d 318 +2.7% -7.1% 74% 61% -7.0%
all 318 +2.7% -7.1% 74% 61% -7.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover48.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.1% 61% -7.0%
10% ← realistic here -16.0% 49% -15.9%
15% -24.1% 34% -24.0%
20% -31.5% 19% -31.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $508.04 · official $507.43 (match) · 974 history records