Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:27:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A7
0xa7bf…8f4e
other · 8 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$1 +7%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$0 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8
Realized+$0
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses2 / 1
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions3
Markets (closed)3 / 8
History coverage1d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day13.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit62%
Chart Positions 3 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$0
14 days+$0
30 days+$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 46¢ 46¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 29¢ 50¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+74%)
Will the announcers say "Trump" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA World Cup Match? Yes 19¢ 10¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-45%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -49%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 52% +$1
crypto 29% $0
sports 19% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +67%
net ROI/market (all)+10.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +22.2% +10.6% 67% 67% -5.4%
≤30d 3 +22.2% +10.6% 67% 67% -5.4%
≤90d 3 +22.2% +10.6% 67% 67% -5.4%
all 3 +22.2% +10.6% 67% 67% -5.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +10.6% 67% -5.4%
10% -0.0% 67% -14.4%
15% -9.7% 67% -22.7%
20% -18.5% 33% -30.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
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