Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:32:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A7
0xa7e6…c4d9
crypto · 143 markets active 1h ago
5.0score
+$42 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$42 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$42
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses81 / 62
Open positions0
Markets (closed)143 / 143
History coverage119d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day2.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 143 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days+$46
14 days+$35
30 days+$36
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $13 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$1 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$4 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 09 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 09 $5 +$2 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 08 $5 −$4 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 08 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 08 $7 −$7 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 08 $17 +$6 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 08 $6 −$6 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 08 $22 +$11 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 08 $21 +$5 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 07 $7 +$18 +248%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 07 $8 −$8 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 07 $4 +$5 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 07 $11 +$6 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 07 $5 −$4 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 07 $5 +$6 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 07 $5 +$7 +135%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 05 $5 +$3 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 05 $6 −$2 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 05 $17 +$4 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 05 $5 +$3 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 05 $5 +$7 +135%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 05 $5 +$7 +141%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 05 $4 +$6 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 05 $9 −$5 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET May 29 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET May 29 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET May 29 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Mar 13 $3 −$2 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Mar 13 $11 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Mar 13 $3 −$2 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Mar 13 $2 +$1 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Mar 13 $5 −$2 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Mar 12 $19 −$17 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Mar 12 $30 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Mar 12 $45 −$21 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Mar 12 $22 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Mar 12 $21 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Mar 11 $53 +$9 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Mar 11 $56 +$9 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Mar 11 $44 +$6 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Mar 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$42
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET SELL Up 31¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Down 30¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Down 31¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 51¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 51¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET SELL Up 22¢ $7 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $7 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET SELL Up 21¢ $4 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET SELL Down 61¢ $7 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET SELL Up 6¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET SELL Up 20¢ $4 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $5 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Down 4¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET SELL Down 35¢ $7 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET SELL Up 46¢ $7 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET SELL Up 8¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $10 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-6.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 31 +16.3% +5.2% 65% 55% +6.9%
≤30d 36 +9.8% -0.6% 61% 50% +3.5%
≤90d 36 +9.8% -0.6% 61% 50% +3.5%
all 143 +3.0% -6.8% 57% 47% -6.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.9 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -6.8% 47% -6.0%
10% -15.7% 41% -15.0%
15% -23.9% 33% -23.2%
20% -31.3% 24% -30.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 382 history records