Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:49:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A7
0xa7fc…f6d7
crypto · 181 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$2 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses121 / 60
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)181 / 181
History coverage19d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day18.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 0 History 181 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$16
7 days+$16
14 days+$5
30 days−$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
ITF Montemor-O-Novo: Savannah Broadus vs Viktoria Morvayova Savannah Broadus 69¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 55¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva Marta Kostyuk 57¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Hurricanes 60¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 58¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi Matteo Berrettini 63¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 69¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 60¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Centurion 2: Luca Castelnuovo vs Mario Gonzalez Fernandez Luca Castelnuovo 64¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 68¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas Wings Las Vegas Aces 81¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Pablo Carreno Busta 75¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Down 95¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Elena Milutinovic vs Nadja Mladenovic Nadja Mladenovic 78¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 76¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Ugo Humbert vs Quentin Halys Ugo Humbert 58¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Up 50¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Birmingham: Mattia Bellucci vs Alex Bolt Mattia Bellucci 58¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Down 32¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Up 69¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
ITF Monastir: Beatrice Stagno vs Viola Bedini Beatrice Stagno 80¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Madison Keys vs Diana Shnaider Madison Keys 59¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska Diana Shnaider 63¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays 57¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $42 +$4 +8%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $40 +$2 +6%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $35 +$5 +14%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $30 +$5 +16%
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska Jun 04 $3 −$3 -99%
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 04 $3 −$3 -99%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi Jun 03 $1 −$1 -99%
Makarska: Barbora Palicova vs Lucija Bagaric Jun 03 $1 −$1 -100%
Birmingham: Celine Naef vs Maddison Inglis Jun 03 $1 +$1 +56%
Makarska: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Laura Samson Jun 03 $1 −$1 -99%
AHL: Colorado Eagles vs. Chicago Wolves Jun 03 $1 +$1 +89%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Elena Milutinovic vs Nadja Mladenovic Jun 03 $1 −$1 -99%
ITF Montemor-O-Novo: Savannah Broadus vs Viktoria Morvayova Jun 03 $1 −$1 -99%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 02 $1 −$1 -99%
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 02 $1 −$1 -99%
Foggia: Miriana Tona vs Viola Turini Jun 02 $1 −$1 -98%
Roland Garros WTA (Doubles): Dabrowski/Stefani vs Siegemund/Zvonareva Jun 02 $4 +$2 +62%
Birmingham: Mattia Bellucci vs Alex Bolt Jun 02 $3 −$3 -99%
Set Handicap: Tiafoe (-1.5) vs Arnaldi (+1.5) Jun 02 $2 +$1 +51%
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettini Jun 01 $1 +$1 +67%
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Tabilo Jun 01 $1 +$1 +57%
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Diane Parry Jun 01 $1 +$1 +51%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Zachary Svajda Jun 01 $1 $0 +13%
Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna Kalinskaya Jun 01 $1 $0 +4%
Roland Garros WTA: Madison Keys vs Diana Shnaider Jun 01 $1 −$1 -99%
Centurion 2: Luca Castelnuovo vs Mario Gonzalez Fernandez Jun 01 $1 −$1 -99%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros Jun 01 $1 +$1 +54%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev Jun 01 $1 +$1 +113%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Jun 01 $1 $0 +44%
New York Yankees vs. Athletics Jun 01 $1 +$1 +60%
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Belinda Bencic May 31 $1 $0 +46%
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta May 31 $1 −$1 -99%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 31 $3 $0 +15%
Roland Garros WTA: Sorana Cirstea vs Xiyu Wang May 31 $2 +$1 +26%
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek May 31 $1 −$1 -99%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs May 31 $1 −$1 -99%
ITF Luan: Ashton McLeod vs Yan Cheng Chen May 29 $3 −$3 -100%
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers May 29 $1 $0 +9%
Thunder vs. Spurs May 29 $1 $0 +28%
ITF Karuizawa: Sora Fukuda vs Koki Matsuda May 29 $1 −$1 -99%
Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas Wings May 29 $1 −$1 -99%
World Championships: Canada vs. USA May 29 $1 $0 +24%
World Championships: Finland vs. Czechia May 29 $1 $0 +31%
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Sweden May 29 $1 $0 +44%
Vicenza: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Joel Schwaerzler May 28 $1 $0 +30%
Roland Garros ATP: Facundo Acosta vs Learner Tien May 28 $1 $0 +28%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Yibing Wu May 28 $1 $0 +27%
Connecticut Sun vs. PortlandFire May 28 $2 $0 +24%
Toronto Tempo vs. Chicago Sky May 28 $1 +$1 +70%
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals May 28 $1 $0 +34%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 42% −$4
other 30% +$13
sports 28% −$12
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $46 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 92¢ $42 3h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 100¢ $42 7h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 94¢ $40 7h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $40 24h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 87¢ $35 25h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 86¢ $30 33h
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska BUY Diana Shnaider 63¢ $3 8d
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva BUY Marta Kostyuk 57¢ $3 8d
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi BUY Matteo Berrettini 63¢ $1 9d
Birmingham: Celine Naef vs Maddison Inglis SELL Celine Naef 100¢ $2 9d
Makarska: Barbora Palicova vs Lucija Bagaric BUY Lucija Bagaric 49¢ $1 10d
Makarska: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Laura Samson BUY Laura Samson 55¢ $1 10d
AHL: Colorado Eagles vs. Chicago Wolves SELL Colorado Eagles 100¢ $2 10d
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Elena Milutinovic vs Nadja Mladenovic BUY Nadja Mladenovic 78¢ $1 10d
ITF Montemor-O-Novo: Savannah Broadus vs Viktoria Morvayova BUY Savannah Broadus 69¢ $1 10d
AHL: Colorado Eagles vs. Chicago Wolves BUY Colorado Eagles 52¢ $1 10d
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes BUY Hurricanes 60¢ $1 10d
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays BUY Tampa Bay Rays 57¢ $1 10d
Foggia: Miriana Tona vs Viola Turini BUY Miriana Tona 47¢ $1 10d
Birmingham: Celine Naef vs Maddison Inglis BUY Celine Naef 63¢ $1 10d
Roland Garros WTA (Doubles): Dabrowski/Stefani vs Siegemund/Zvonareva SELL Dabrowski/Stefani 100¢ $7 10d
Roland Garros WTA (Doubles): Dabrowski/Stefani vs Siegemund/Zvonareva BUY Dabrowski/Stefani 61¢ $1 10d
Birmingham: Mattia Bellucci vs Alex Bolt BUY Mattia Bellucci 58¢ $1 10d
Roland Garros WTA (Doubles): Dabrowski/Stefani vs Siegemund/Zvonareva BUY Dabrowski/Stefani 61¢ $1 10d
Roland Garros WTA (Doubles): Dabrowski/Stefani vs Siegemund/Zvonareva BUY Dabrowski/Stefani 61¢ $2 10d
Birmingham: Mattia Bellucci vs Alex Bolt BUY Mattia Bellucci 58¢ $2 10d
Set Handicap: Tiafoe (-1.5) vs Arnaldi (+1.5) BUY Arnaldi 66¢ $1 11d
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Diane Parry SELL Maja Chwalinska 100¢ $2 11d
Set Handicap: Tiafoe (-1.5) vs Arnaldi (+1.5) BUY Arnaldi 65¢ $1 11d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-15.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +11.1% +0.6% 100% 50% +0.1%
≤30d 181 -6.7% -15.5% 67% 52% -10.1%
≤90d 181 -6.7% -15.5% 67% 52% -10.1%
all 181 -6.7% -15.5% 67% 52% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover18.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.5% 52% -10.1%
10% -23.6% 38% -18.7%
15% -31.0% 18% -26.5%
20% -37.8% 9% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 389 history records