trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 2 | -63.1% | -66.6% | 0% | 0% | -56.9% |
| ≤90d | 3 | -16.3% | -24.2% | 33% | 33% | -44.9% |
| all | 13 | -32.6% | -39.0% | 15% | 15% | -45.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -39.0% | 15% | -45.2% |
| 10% | -44.9% | 15% | -50.5% |
| 15% | -50.2% | 15% | -55.2% |
| 20% | -55.1% | 15% | -59.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals | Yes | 51¢ | 26¢ | $25 | $12 | −$12 (-50%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? | May 19 | $298 | −$78 | -26% |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19? | May 19 | $1,295 | −$1,217 | -94% |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Mar 29 | $52 | +$41 | +78% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 me | Mar 18 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | Mar 14 | $6 | −$1 | -10% |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | Mar 14 | $6 | $0 | -0% |
| US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026? | Feb 19 | $5 | −$2 | -42% |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? | Feb 19 | $4 | −$2 | -34% |
| US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026? | Feb 18 | $6 | +$4 | +60% |
| Will the US strike Mexico next? | Feb 13 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026? | Feb 09 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of February? | Feb 05 | $47 | −$10 | -20% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on February 5? | Feb 05 | $22 | −$6 | -29% |