trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 12 | -70.2% | -73.0% | 17% | 17% | -44.9% |
| ≤30d | 26 | +32.9% | +20.3% | 50% | 50% | +57.7% |
| ≤90d | 26 | +32.9% | +20.3% | 50% | 50% | +57.7% |
| all | 26 | +32.9% | +20.3% | 50% | 50% | +57.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +20.3% | 50% | +57.7% |
| 10% | +8.8% | 46% | +42.6% |
| 15% | -1.8% | 42% | +28.8% |
| 20% | -11.4% | 38% | +16.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 12¢ | 22¢ | $100 | $190 | +$90 (+90%) |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 13¢ | 10¢ | $100 | $80 | −$20 (-20%) |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27? | No | 14¢ | 1¢ | $105 | $4 | −$100 (-96%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw? | Jun 28 | $101 | +$49 | +48% |
| Will Panama vs. England end in a draw? | Jun 27 | $62 | −$60 | -97% |
| Exact Score: New Zealand 0 - 3 Belgium? | Jun 27 | $40 | −$39 | -98% |
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 27 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Panama win on 2026-06-27? | Jun 27 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will New Zealand vs. Belgium end in a draw? | Jun 27 | $46 | −$45 | -97% |
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 26 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 0 Australia? | Jun 26 | $61 | +$67 | +109% |
| Will Senegal vs. Iraq end in a draw? | Jun 26 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 25 | $41 | −$40 | -98% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 24 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw? | Jun 22 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $51 | +$126 | +246% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $101 | +$53 | +52% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $201 | +$40 | +20% |
| Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $36 | −$35 | -98% |
| Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $10 | +$25 | +250% |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $141 | +$43 | +30% |
| Spread: Portugal (-2.5) | Jun 17 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $111 | −$111 | -100% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $51 | +$226 | +442% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 14 | $36 | +$64 | +177% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $51 | +$199 | +388% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $1,489 | +$1,641 | +110% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 06 | $51 | +$60 | +118% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 04 | $4 | +$6 | +165% |